Wisconsin vs. Nebraska - 11/15/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Nebraska Cornhuskers (8-1) at Wisconsin Badgers (7-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 15, 2014 at 3:30 pm (Camp Randall Stadium)
The Line: Wisconsin Badgers -6 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ABC, ESPN3
The Nebraska Cornhuskers and Wisconsin Badgers will play Saturday afternoon at Camp Randall Stadium.
The Nebraska Cornhuskers have won three straight since losing to Michigan State and continue to rely on their talented running game. Ameer Abdullah and Tommy Armstrong Jr. have combined for more than 1,800 rushing yards and 21 touchdowns. Nebraska is averaging 5.9 yards per carry and has 24 running plays of 20 or more yards. Nebraska has won 11 straight games when rushing for 200-plus yards. Armstrong Jr. is completing 53 percent of his passes for 13 touchdowns and eight interceptions. In his last two games, Armstrong Jr. has five total touchdowns and three picks. Jordan Westerkamp and Kenny Bell have combined for 1,177 receiving yards and six touchdowns, while De'Mornay Pierson-El has caught six of his nine passes in his last three games, which includes a touchdown in his last game. Defensively, the Nebraska Cornhuskers are allowing 19.7 points, 339.8 yards, and they’ve forced 14 turnovers and 21 sacks. Zaire Anderson leads Nebraska with 63 tackles and Maliek Collins has seven tackles for loss.
Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports
The Wisconsin Badgers have won four straight and have yet to lose at home. Like Nebraska, Wisconsin relies on a running game that’s averaging seven yards per carry and has produced 36 running plays of 20 or more yards. Melvin Gordon and Corey Clement have combined for more than 2,200 yards and 26 touchdowns. Wisconsin has won its last eight games when Gordon scores at least two touchdowns, and the Badgers have also topped 200 rushing yards in nine of their last 10 games. Joel Stave is completing 53.8 percent of his passes for five touchdowns and four interceptions. Alex Erickson and Sam Arneson have combined for more than 600 receiving yards and six of the Badgers 11 receiving touchdowns, while Jordan Fredrick has seven of his 11 receptions in his last two games. Defensively, the Wisconsin Badgers are allowing 14.3 points, 251.1 yards, and they’ve forced 10 turnovers and 28 sacks. Michael Caputo leads Wisconsin with 64 tackles and Vince Biegel has 6.5 sacks.
The Cornhuskers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Badgers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games and 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 conference games.
To me this is a toss-up game given the fact both teams are nearly exactly the same. Both Wisconsin and Nebraska rely heavily on their running game and defense to win games. Whichever great running back can have more success will produce the winner of this game. Since picking between Ameer Abdullah and Melvin Gordon is like picking between a Ferrari or Lamborghini, I'm going with the points here and hoping for the best.