Memphis vs. South Florida - 11/22/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
South Florida Bulls (4-6) at Memphis Tigers (7-3)
College Football: Saturday, November 22, 2014 at 4:00 pm (Liberty Bowl)
The Line: Memphis Tigers -18.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The South Florida Bulls and Memphis Tigers play Saturday at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium.
The South Florida Bulls have lost four of their last six games and must win out to clinch a bowl spot. South Florida is a defensive team that’s allowing 27.7 points, 406.8 yards, and has forced 19 sacks and 17 turnovers. The South Florida Bulls have allowed 27 or less points in four of their last seven games. Jamie Byrd leads South Florida with 80 tackles and Reshard Cliett has five sacks. Offensively, Mike White is completing 49.5 percent of his passes for eight touchdowns and seven interceptions. White has five touchdowns and three picks in his last three games, and South Florida has 19 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Andre Davis and Rodney Adams have combined for close to 800 receiving yards and eight touchdowns Mike McFarland has nine of his 21 catches in his last three games. South Florida’s ground game is averaging 3.7 yards per carry, and freshman Marlon Mack leads the way with 907 rushing yards and eight touchdowns.
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The Memphis Tigers have won four straight games and can win the American if they win out. While a balanced team, Memphis relies on a defense that’s allowing 17.5 points, 345.4 yards, and has forced 24 sacks and 24 turnovers. The Memphis Tigers have allowed a combined 50 points in their last four games. Tank Jakes leads Memphis with 66 tackles and Genard Avery has four sacks. Offensively, Paxton Lynch is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. Lynch has four total touchdowns and zero picks in his last three games, and Memphis has 22 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Tevin Jones and Keiwone Malone have combined for more than 800 receiving yards and two touchdowns, while Mose Frazier has 13 of his 35 receptions in his last two games. Memphis’ ground game is averaging 4.1 yards per carry, and Brandon Hayes leads the way with 651 rushing yards and five touchdowns.
The Bulls are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games in November. The Tigers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in November and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
South Florida is one of those teams that plays its best against better comp, as it competed against Maryland, Wisconsin and recently Cincinnati. While Memphis should win and get that much closer to an American title, I'm taking the Bulls and the points here.