LSU vs. Notre Dame - 12/30/14 Music City Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-5) at LSU Tigers (8-4)
College Football: Tuesday, December 30, 2014 at 3:00 pm (LP Field)
The Line: LSU Tigers -7 -- Over/Under: 52 See the Latest Odds
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish and LSU Tigers play Tuesday afternoon in the Music City Bowl at LP Field.
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have lost four straight games and are playing in their fifth straight bowl. Everett Golson is completing 60.1 percent of his passes for 29 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Golson has two touchdowns and two picks in his last two games, and Notre Dame has 35 passing plays of 25 or more yards. William Fuller and Corey Robinson have combined for more than 1,500 receiving yards and 19 touchdowns while Chris Brown has 11 receptions in his last three games. Notre Dame’s ground game is averaging 4.2 yards per carry, as Tarean Folston leads the way with 816 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are allowing 29.3 points, 401.5 yards, and they’ve forced 24 sacks and 22 turnovers. Jaylon Smith leads Notre Dame with 102 tackles and Matthias Farley has 3.5 sacks.
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The LSU Tigers have split their last four games and are playing in their 15th straight bowl. Anthony Jennings is completing 48.8 percent of his passes for 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Jennings has two touchdowns and two picks in his last three games, and LSU has 24 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Travin Dural and Malachi Dupre have combined for more than 1,00 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while John Diarse has four receptions in his last two games. LSU’s ground game is averaging 4.5 yards per carry, as Leonard Fournette leads the way with 891 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, the LSU Tigers are allowing 16.4 points, 305.8 yards, and they’ve forced 19 sacks and 20 turnovers. Kwon Alexander leads LSU with 79 tackles and Danielle Hunter has 12 tackles for loss.
The Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
The question is whether or not LSU can score enough points in this game to cover the spread against a decent Notre Dame defense. LSU is too one sided on offense for my taste. I don't love this game but if forced to pick, I'm siding with the Irish and the points here.