ASU at UCLA - 10/3/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona State Sun Devils (2-2) at UCLA Bruins (4-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 3, 2015 at 7:30 pm (Rose Bowl)
The Line: UCLA Bruins -13.5 -- Over/Under: 60 See the Latest Odds
The Arizona State Sun Devils and UCLA Bruins square off Saturday night at the Rose Bowl.
The Arizona State Sun Devils look for a bounce back victory after getting blown out by the USC Trojans. Mike Bercovici is completing 59.2 percent of his passes for 1,071 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Bercovici is currently 11th in the Pac-12 in completion percentage. Gary Chambers and D.J. Foster have combined for 385 receiving yards and one touchdown while Demario Richard has 10 receptions. The Arizona State Sun Devils ground game is averaging 163.5 yards per contest, and Richard leads the way with 429 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, ASU is allowing 27.8 points and 376.3 yards per game. Jordan Simone leads the Sun Devils with 37 tackles, Christian Sam has three sacks and Lloyd Carrington has three pass deflections. Lloyd Carrington, Armand Perry and Dan Vear are questionable.
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The UCLA Bruins look to remain unbeaten and continue their climb up the polls. Josh Rosen is completing 62.5 percent of his passes for 963 yards, seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Rosen is currently ninth in the Pac-12 in completion percentage. Jordan Payton and Thomas Duarte have combined for 492 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Nate Iese has six receptions. The UCLA Bruins ground game is averaging 236.2 yards per contest, and Paul Perkins leads the way with 514 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, UCLA is allowing 18 points and 361.5 yards per game. Isaako Savaiinaea leads the Bruins with 26 tackles, Deon Hollins has 1.5 sacks and Kene Orjioke has three pass deflections. Jayon Brown is questionable.
The Sun Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in October and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games in October. The Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in UCLA and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 meetings overall.
This is what I call putting way too much stock into one game. Are we really going to give Arizona State two free touchdowns like the Sun Devils are complete garbage? Yes, ASU has been a major letdown, but UCLA hasn't exactly been worldbeaters if you take away the Bruins win last week.
UCLA likely still wins this game, but the value to me is with the Sun Devils and the inane amount of points.