Massachusetts vs. Florida International - 10/3/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Florida International Golden Panthers (2-2) at Massachusetts Minutemen (0-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 3, 2015 at 3:00 pm (Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium)
The Line: Massachusetts Minutemen -1 -- Over/Under: 52.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
Florida International Golden Panthers will travel to Gillette Stadium to take on the Massachusetts Minutemen this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
FIU put up a strong defense effort against the high scoring Louisiana Tech Bulldogs but fell to 2-2 (0-1 C-USA) after being defeated by the Bulldogs by a 27-17 margin. The Golden Panthers were outgained by Louisiana Tech by a 472-308 margin and allowed the Bulldogs to average 5.9 yards per rush on the ground. Offensively, FIU is averaging 23.3 ppg and is led by QB Alex McGough who on the season has completed 64.5% of his passes for 1014 yards, 9 TD’s and 2 INT and has also gained 126 yards on the ground. Leading the ground game for the Golden Panthers has been Alex Gardner who is had 246 yards and two TD’s on 67 carries. Thomas Owens leads the way for the FIU receivers as in he currently has 26 receptions for 329 yards and 4 TD’s. Defensively, the Golden Panthers are holding their opponents to 22.8 ppg. FIU defense has been solid on the season however, have had trouble creating turnovers as they’ve only created 4 turnovers on the season and have a -2 turnover margin. The Golden Panthers have one of the better defensive lines in C-USA and is led defensively by Denzell Perine and Michael Wakefield.
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The Massachusetts Minutemen were able to hang around with the 6th ranked Norte Dame Fighting Irish for the majority of the first half but ended up following to 0-3 (0-0 C-USA) on the season after losing to Norte Dame by a 62-27 margin. UMass once against had trouble on the defensive end as they were outgained by the Fighting Irish by a 681-450 margin while allowing 457 yards on the ground. Offensively, UMass is led by WR Tajae Sharpe who currently has 30 receptions for 377 yards on the season. QB Blake Frohnapfel has completed just 53.5% of his passes for 851 yards, 4 TD’s and 3 Int. The Minutemen rushing attack is led by Marquis Young who has 175 yards and a TD on 16 carries. UMass has struggled on the defensive end as they are allowing their opponents to average 45.0 ppg. UMass has allowed 914 yards on the ground so far this season while teams are averaging 6.22 yards per carry. UMass currently has a turnover margin of -1 on the season and are allowing their opponents to convert 53.19% of their 3rd down opportunities.
The Golden Panthers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Minutemen are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
UMass is still searching for their first win of the season but it’s not shocking that they started the season 0-3 after having to play Colorado, Temple and Norte Dame. FIU has been a bit better than expected, especially after they upset UCF in their opener this season. UMass should have picked up the victory at home against Temple earlier this season and although FIU’s defense is pretty tough, I like what UMass brings to the table offensively and I think they’ll be able to do enough in front of their home crowd to cover this small spread. Take UMass to cover.