Massachusetts vs. Kent State - 10/17/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kent State Golden Flashes (2-4) at Massachusetts Minutemen (1-4)
College Football: Saturday, October 17, 2015 at 3:30 pm (Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium)
The Line: Massachusetts Minutemen -5 -- Over/Under: 56 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Kent State Golden Flashes will travel to Gillette Stadium to take on the Massachusetts Minutemen this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Kent State Golden Flashes fell to 2-4 (1-1 MAC-East) on the season after being defeated by the 22nd ranked Toledo Rockets 38-7 this past Saturday. Kent State was outgained by Toledo by a 518-257 margin and completed just 4 of 13 third down opportunities. Leading the way for the Golden Flashes was WR Raekwon James who caught 4 passes for 66 yards. On the season, Kent State is averaging just 18.5 ppg on 315.3 yards per game (153.7 passing, 161.7 rushing). Leading the way for Kent State is WR Ernest Calhoun who had 11 receptions for 141 yards and 2 TD. QB has been a rough issue for Kent State as Colin Reardon has completed just 45.1% of his passes for 743 yards, 6 TD, and 3 Int. The Golden Flashes rushing attack is led by Trayion Durham who had 290 yards and 2 TD on 83 carries. On the defensive side, Kent State is allowing their opponents to average 27.2 ppg on 296.3 yards (178.8 passing, 117.5 rushing). The Golden Flashes currently have a plus-5 turnover margin on the season and have been led on the defensive side of the ball by DB Nate Holley (56 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 1 Int) and DB Demetrius Monday (12 tackles, 5 Int).
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The Massachusetts Minutemen couldn’t keep up with the high powered Bowling Green offense and fell to 1-4 (0-1 MAC-Eat) on the season after being defeated 62-38 this past Saturday. UMass was outgained by Bowling Green by a 725-516 margin and committed 2 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Minutemen was WR Tajae Sharpe who had 13 receptions for 156 yards and a TD. On the season, UMass is averaging 25.2 ppg on 459.2 yards (358.8 passing, 100.4 rushing). WR Tajae Sharpe had been the focal point of the UMass offense and leads all of college football with 58 receptions. Along with Sharpe’s 58 receptions, he has 692 yards and 2 TD’s on the season. QB Blake Frohnapfel has completed 59.5% of his passes for 1623 yards, 10 TD’s and 4 Int. The Minutemen rushing attack has been led by Marquis Young (26 carries, 223 yards, 1 TD) and Jamal Wilson (27 carries, 223 yards, 2 TD). UMass has struggled on the defensive end this season as they are allowing their opponents to average 42.2 ppg on 522.0 yards (283.4 passing, 238.6 rushing). UMass currently has a minus-4 turnover margin on the season. Leading the way for the Minutemen defense has been LB Jovan Santos-Knox (42 tackles, 2.0 sacks) and DB Kelton Brackett (21 tackles, 2 Int).
The Golden Flashes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October. The Minutemen are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Kent State couldn’t get anything going on the offensive end against the Rockies and will need to find ways to get it too their player makers, Ernest Calhoun and Antwan Dixon to improve on their 18.5 ppg. UMass has an above average offensive and one of the best WR’s in the country, but has had trouble keeping opponents off the scoreboard. UMass has been solid at Gillette Stadium this season defeating FIU and barley losing to Temple due to a blocked extra point and late FG. Kent State should be able to get on the scoreboard a bit against the Minutemen defense but I think Sharpe and Frohnapfel will be too much for the Golden Flashes and that UMass covers this spread.