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Navy Midshipmen vs. SMU Mustangs - 11/14/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Southern Methodist Mustangs (1-8) at Navy Midshipmen (7-1)

College Football: Saturday, November 14, 2015 at 3:30 pm (Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Navy Midshipmen -20 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Navy Midshipmen look to stay on a roll when the Southern Methodist Mustangs come to town.

In my view the Southern Methodist Mustangs are an improved team although their 1-7 record says the opposite. The defense has been an issue and we saw that in a 60-40 loss to visiting Temple in week ten. The Owls won the yardage battle 536-397 and forced a pair of turnovers. Quarterback Matt Davis completed 17-29 for 167 yards with a touchdown and a pick six in the final minute. Jeremiah Gaines caught two passes for 50 yards and Braeden West snagged a 45 yarder but the air attack was generally a short attack. Davis was better with his legs then arm with 102 yards and a TD on 17 totes while Xavier Jones added 67 yards and two touchdowns on 16 carries.

Navy Midshipmen vs. SMU Mustangs - 11/14/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Navy Midshipmen have bounced back from a loss at Notre Dame to win three in a row after following a 45-20 rout of previously undefeated and #13 Memphis to up their record to 7-1.The Midshipmen held a narrow 463-438 edge in yards with a pair of fumble recoveries and an interception. Quarterback Keenan Reynolds completed 3-5 for 85 yards with a 75 yard scoring strike to DeBrandon Sanders. The Midshipmen enjoyed a huge day running the ball with Chris Swain logging 108 yards and a trio  of touchdowns on 18 carries with Sanders using his legs to total 82 yards on only eight touches. Overall the Middies totaled 378 yards and averaged six yards per try.

The Mustangs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home while the over is 4-0 in Mustangs last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and the over is 5-0 in Midshipmen last 5 games in November while the Midshipmen are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings. Navy is rolling and although I hate the number I’ll ride them…

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