Bowling Green vs. Toledo - 11/17/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Toledo Rockets (8-1) at Bowling Green Falcons (8-2)
College Football: Tuesday, November 17, 2015 at 6:00 pm (Doyt Perry Stadium)
The Line: Bowling Green Falcons -9 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The Toledo Rockets will travel to Doyt Perry Stadium to take on the Bowling Green Falcons this Tuesday night in College Football action.
The Toledo Rockets improved to 8-1 (5-1 MAC West) on the season after defeating the Central Michigan Chippewas 28-23 this past Tuesday. Toledo was able to outgain Central Michigan by a 485-408 margin and didn’t commit any turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Rockets was Phillip Ely who threw for 322 yards and 2 TD’s and Kareem Hunt who rushed for 113 yards and 2 TD’s. On the season, Toledo is averaging 34.9 ppg on 467.7 yards per game (251.4 passing, 216.2 rushing). Toledo is led by a solid rushing attack that includes Kareem Hunt (100.33 yds/game, 7 TD), Terry Swanson (93.63 yds/game, 5 TD), and Damion Jones-Moore (56.00 yds/game, 5 TD). QB Phillip Ely has 18 TD’s and 9 INT on the season and is averaging 243.6 yds/game. Cody Thompson (61.4 yds/game, 4 TD), Alonzo Russell (53.6 yds/game, 4 TD), and Corey Jones (47.3 yds/game, 4 TD) lead the way for the Rockets wide receivers. Defensively, Toledo is holding opponents to an average of 18.8 ppg on 375.4 yards per game (261.1 passing, 114.3 rushing). The Rockets have a turnover margin of plus 3 on the season and are led defensively by DL Orion Jones (40 tackles, 5 sacks).
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The Bowling Green Falcons won their 7th straight game and improved to 8-2 (6-0 MAC East) after defeating the Western Michigan Broncos 41-27 this past Wednesday. Bowling Green was able to rack up 505 total yards and force Western Michigan to commit two turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Falcons was Matt Johnson who had 269 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT and Travis Greene who had 170 rushing yards and 3 TD. Offensively, Bowling Green is averaging 45.4 ppg on 584.8 yards per game (414.1 passing, 170.7 rushing). The Bowling Green offense has been led by QB Matt Johnson who had 36 TD and 4 INT on the season and is averaging 395.5 yds/game. The Falcons rushing attack has been led by Travis Greene (86.6 yds/game, 10 TD) and Fred Coppet (59.00 yds/game, 2 TD). Donovan Wilson also has 7 rushing TD’s on the season. WR Roger Lewis has been Johnson’s main target this season as he is averaging 131.0 receiving yards per game and 14 TD’s on the season. Also contributing for the Falcons WR’s has been Ronnie Moore (72.2 yds/game, 5 TD) and Gehrig Dieter (69.8 yds/game, 5 TD). Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing their opponents to average 27.9 ppg on 438.6 yards per game (270.0 passing, 168.6 rushing). The Falcons currently have a plus 12 turnover margin and are led defensively by LB Austin Valdez (98 tackles, 1 sack) and DL Terrance Bush (40 tackles, 6 sacks).
The Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Bowling Green has been on an absolute tear as of late and with their convincing victory on the road against Western Michigan, are arguably the favorites in the MAC. Toledo had a tough loss against Northern Illinois but still are one of the best teams in the MAC. To be able to beat Bowling Green you need a solid defense and a good running game to control the clock and as Toledo has both of these, I think they’ll be able to keep this one within a TD. Take Toledo and the points.