East Carolina at UCF - 11/19/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
East Carolina Pirates (4-6) at Central Florida Knights (0-10)
College Football: Thursday, November 19, 2015 at 7:30 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)
The Line: Central Florida Knights +14.5 -- Over/Under: 54.5 See the Latest Odds
The East Carolina Pirates and UCF Knights square off Thursday night at the Bright House Networks Stadium.
The East Carolina Pirates must win out in order to become bowl eligible for the fourth straight season. Blake Kemp is completing 69.8 percent of his passes for 1,878 yards, 11 touchdowns and 10 touchdowns. Kemp has one touchdown pass in his last three games. Isaiah Jones and Bryce Williams have combined for 1,296 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Trevon Brown has 30 receptions. The East Carolina Pirates ground game is averaging 138.3 yards per contest, and Chris Hairston leads the way with 615 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, ECU is allowing 28.6 points and 415.2 yards per game. Zeek Bigger leads the Pirates with 81 tackles, Josh Hawkins has two interceptions and Montese Overton has 7.5 sacks. Demage Bailey and Quincy Mckinney are questionable.
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The UCF Knights could use a big win to snap an 11-game losing streak. Justin Holman is completing 52.2 percent of his passes for 1,153 yards, six touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Holman has three passing touchdowns in his last three games. Tre'Quan Smith and Tristan Payton have combined for 811 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Jordan Franks has 17 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 78.7 yards per contest, and C.J. Jones leads the way with 291 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, UCF is allowing 36.4 points and 449.2 yards per game. Domenic Spencer leads the Knights with 84 tackles, Shaquill Griffin has two interceptions and Jamiyus Pittman has 3.5 sacks.
The Pirates are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Pirates are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
East Carolina has more to play for with a bowl game on the line, but that didn't stop the Pirates from losing to South Florida. Also, UCF is also a desprate team that has to be tired of losing and would like to get at least one win before this season ends. While ECU probably wins this game, the value is with two touchdowns and the hook.
I can't lay this much chalk with an ECU team that lost to USF.