Connecticut vs. Houston - 11/21/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Houston Cougars (10-0) at Connecticut Huskies (5-5)
College Football: Saturday, November 21, 2015 at 3:30 pm (Rentschler Field)
The Line: Connecticut Huskies -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The Houston Cougars will travel to Rentschler Field to take on the Connecticut Huskies this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The 24th ranked Houston Cougars (10-0; 6-0 AAC West) remained perfect on the season after completed a 20 point 4th quarter comeback to defeat the 21st ranked Memphis Tigers 35-34 this past Saturday. The Cougars lost their starting QB Gary Ward Jr right before halftime and although they were outgained by Memphis by a 490-392 margin for the game, but got a gutsy performance from backup QB Kyle Postma who went 21 of 33 for 236 yards and a TD in the victory. On the season, Houston is averaging 43.5 ppg on 511.8 yards per game (256.5 passing, 255.3 rushing). Leading the way for Houston on the season has been QB Greg Ward Jr who averaging 271.6 passing yards and 80.0 rushing yards per game and has accounted for 29 total TD’s this season. Kenneth Farrow has been solid at the RB position averaging 90.3 yds/game while rushing for 16 TD’s. Damarcus Ayers is the leading receiver for the Cougars as he is averaging 89.6 yds/game and has 5 TD’s on the season. Defensively, Houston is allowing their opponents to average 20.2 ppg on 379.8 total yards per game (269.1 passing, 110.7 rushing). Houston has forced 27 turnovers this season and has a turnover margin of plus 18. The Cougars are lead defensively by lB Steven Taylor who has 68 tackles, 8 sacks, and 2 INT.
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The Connecticut Huskies scored their only points in the 1st quarter but it was enough to defeat the Tulane Green Wave 7-3 this past Saturday to improve to 5-5 (3-3 AAC East) on the season. Connecticut was able to gain only 227 yards of total offensive but their defense came up big allowing the Tulane to gain just 140 yards. Leading the way for the Huskies was DB Jamar Summers who had the only TD of the game on a 67 yard interception return. On the season, Connecticut is averaging just 19.0 ppg on 336.8 yards per game (203.8 passing, 133.0 rushing). The Huskies offense has been led by RB Arkeel Newsome who is averaging 64.5 yards rushing and 41.7 yards receiving per game while scoring 8 total TD’s this season. QB Bryant Shirreffs is a duel-threat QB who is averaging 198.8 passing yards and 42.20 yards this season while combing for 11TD and 8 INT. Noel Thomas is the leading receiver for the Huskies as he is averaging 54.8 yds/game and has a TD on the season. Defensively, Connecticut is holding their opponents to an average of 19.3 ppg on 358.8 yards per game (187.5 passing, 171.3 rushing). Connecticut has a turnover margin of plus 7 and are led defensively by DB Jamar Summers who had 32 tackles and 6 INT on the season.
The Cougars are 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 road games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss. The Huskies are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games on grass and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
The line probably won’t come out on this one until we know whether or not Gary Ward Jr. will be playing. Houston’s offensive, even with Ward Jr., hasn’t looked as explosive as of late and could have trouble with a solid Connecticut defense. THe issue with Connecticut is that if they couldn’t score a point on offense against Tulane, how they will fare with a decent Houston defense. Right now I think UConn will be getting enought points that I’m leaning towards the Huskies but too much is still unknown at this point. Check back later.