Massachusetts vs. Miami (Ohio) - 11/21/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (2-9) at Massachusetts Minutemen (2-8)
College Football: Saturday, November 21, 2015 at 1:00 pm (Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium)
The Line: Massachusetts Minutemen -9 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Miami (OH) Redhawks will travel to Gillette Stadium to take on the Massachusetts Minutemen this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Miami (OH) Redhawks couldn’t build off their recent win against Eastern Michigan and dropped to 2-9 (1-6 MAC East) on the season after being defeated 37-28 by the Akron Zips this past Saturday. Miami (OH) was outgained by Akron by a 414-384 margin and committed 4 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Redhawks was WR Rokeem Williams who had 7 receptions for 181 yards and a TD. On the season, Miami (OH) is averaging 17.7 ppg on 341.7 yards per game (212.9 passing, 128.8 rushing). Leading the Redhawks offense this season has been QB Billy Bahl who has 7 TD and 13 INT while averaging 124.9 passing yds/game. The Miami (OH) rushing attack has been led by Alonzo Smith (35.36 yds/game, 4 TD) and Gus Ragland (30.09 yds/game, 2 TD). WR Sam Martin (49.3 yds/game, 2 TD), WR Rokeem Williams (42.2 yds/game, 2 TD) and TE Ryan Smith (22.7 yds/game, 5 TD) have been the main receiving threats for the Redhawks. Defensively, Miami (OH) is allowing an averaging of 33.7 ppg on 418.6 yds/game (240.6 passing, 178 rushing). The Redhawks currently have a turnover margin of minus 14 and are led defensively by LB Kent Kern who has 82 tackles and 2 sacks on the season.
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The Massachusetts Minutemen snapped their five game losing streak an improved to 2-8 (1-5 MAC East) on the season after defeating the Eastern Michigan Eagles 28-17 this past Saturday. Massachusetts was able to outgain Eastern Michigan by a 439-315 margin and hold the decent rushing attack of the Eagles to just 59 rushing yards. Leading the way for the Massachusetts offense was RB Marquis Young who had 168 yards and a TD on 32 carries. On the season, Massachusetts is averaging 22.2 ppg on 408.9 yards per game (274.6 passing, 134.3 rushing). Leading the Minutemen offense has been WR Tajae Sharpe who has 5 TD’s on the season while averaging 9.9 rec/game and 110.0 yds/game. QB Blake Frohnapfel has 16 TD’s and 10 INT’s while averaging 257.5 yds/game. The Massachusetts rushing attack has been led by Marquis Young (65.60 yds/game, 3 TD) and Jamal Wilson (36.30 yds/game, 6 TD). TE Rodney Mills has also been a favorite target for Frohnapfel as he is averaging 47.8 yds/game and has 3 TD’s on the season. Defensively, Massachusetts is allowing opponents to average 33.1 ppg on 462.8 yards per game (261.2 passing, 201.6 rushing). The Minutemen currently have a turnover margin of zero and are led defensively by LB Jovan Santos-Knox who has 111 tackles on the season.
The Redhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss. The Minutemen are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Miami (OH) has shown improvement as the season has gone on but hasn’t picked up a win on the road this season and is facing a Massachusetts team that has some decent offensive weapons. This will be the last game at home on the season for Massachusetts and although their defense is always a concern, I think they’ll be able to score plenty of points against the Redhawks defense and cover this spread. Take Massachusetts to cover in this one.