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Memphis vs. Southern Methodist - 11/28/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Southern Methodist Mustangs (2-9) at Memphis Tigers (8-3)

College Football: Saturday, November 28, 2015 at 12:00 pm (Liberty Bowl)

The Line: Memphis Tigers -24.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The SMU Mustangs will travel to Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The SMU Mustangs were able to snap their eight game losing streaks and improved to 2-9 (1-6 American West) on the season after defeating the Tulane Green Wave 49-21 this past Saturday. SMU outgained Tulane by a 518-328 margin and had a great day on the ground gaining 323 rushing yards. Leading the way for the Mustangs was RB Xavier Jones who had 117 yards and 3 TD’s on 17 carries. On the season, SMU is averaging 30.3 ppg on 408.8 yards per game (232.4 passing, 176.5 rushing). Leading the way for SMU on the season has been duel threat QB Mike Davis. Davis currently has combined for 26 total TD’s on the season and is averaging 203.2 passing yds/game and 67.09 rushing yds/game. Xavier Jones has had a nice season in the backfield with Davis as he has 10 TD’s and is averaging 58.00 yds/game. WR Courtland Sutton (474.3 yds/game, 9 TD), WR Xavier Castille (23.1 yds/game, 2 TD), and TE Jeremiah Gaines (22.2 yds/game, 4 TD) lead the way for the Mustangs receivers. Defensively, SMU is allowing their opponents to average 44.1 ppg on the 503.9 yards per game (236.7 passing, 267.2 rushing). SMU has committed 20 turnovers on the season and has a turnover margin of -7.

Memphis vs. Southern Methodist - 11/28/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Memphis Tigers lost their third consecutive game and dropped to 8-3 (4-3 American West) on the season after being defeated by the Temple Owls, 31-12, this past Saturday. The usually high-scoring Tigers offensive couldn’t get anything going against the Temple defense and was outgained by Temple by a 461-232 margin. Leading the way for the Tigers was Paxton Lynch who completed 25 of 34 passes for 156 yards. On the season, Memphis is averaging 40.8 ppg on 512.9 yards per game (327.5 passing, 185.4 rushing). Leading the way for the Tigers has been QB Paxton Lynch who has completed 69.0% of his passes for 21 TD and 3 INT while averaging 313.5 yds/game. Lynch’s main targets at the receiver position this season has been Mose Frazier (63.1 yds/game, 3 TD), Anthony Miller (62.4 ppg, 4 TD), and Phil Mayhue (54.5 yds/game). Memphis uses multiple RB’s and has been led by Doroland Dorceus (52.73 yds/game, 8 TD), Jarvis Cooper (36.10 yds/game, 5 TD), and Sam Craft (34.44 yds/game, 5 TD). Defensively, Memphis is allowing their opponents to average 29.5 ppg on 435.3 yards per game (288.0 passing, 147.3 rushing). The Tigers have committed just 11 turnovers this season and currently has a turnover margin of 3.

The Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in the previous game however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss and 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games in November.

SMU has had a long season as although they do have some playmakers on the offensive side of the ball, especially in QB Mike Davis, their defense has been absolutely awful this season as they’ve given up at least 48 points in 7 of their 9 losses. Memphis had everything going for them just a few weeks ago as they were ranked 16th in the country and were undefeated with wins over Mississippi and Bowling Green, however, now they are no longer  in the race for the American League Championship and looked absolutely flat against Temple.  I’m not sure if Memphis has completely thrown in the towel on the season, but if they play to their abilities in this one, I don’t see them having any trouble winning this game by 25-30 points. I’m banking that the Tigers try to finish the season strong at home and blow out the SMU Mustangs in this one. Take Memphis to cover.  

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