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Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois - 12/4/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Bowling Green Falcons (9-3) at Northern Illinois Huskies (8-4)

College Football: Friday, December 4, 2015 at 8:00 pm (Ford Field)

The Line: Northern Illinois Huskies +12 -- Over/Under: 69.5 See the Latest Odds


The Bowling Green Falcons and Northern Illinois Huskies play Friday at Ford Field in the MAC Championship.

The Bowling Green Falcons look for their second MAC title and first since the 2013 season. Matt Johnson is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 4,465 yards, 41 touchdowns and six interceptions. Johnson has eight passing touchdowns in his last three games. Roger Lewis and Gehrig Dieter have combined for 2,283 receiving yards and 23 touchdowns while Ronnie Moore has 62 receptions. The Bowling Green Falcons ground game is averaging 178.1 yards per contest, and Travis Greene leads the way with 1,036 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 27.8 points and 421.3 yards per game. Austin Valdez leads the Falcons with 120 tackles, Alfonso Mack has five interceptions and Terrance Bush has six sacks. 

Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois - 12/4/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Northern Illinois Huskies look for their fourth MAC title and fourth in the last five seasons. Ryan Graham is completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 653 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. Graham has five passing touchdowns in his last three games. Kenny Golladay and Tommylee Lewis have combined for 1,494 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Aregeros Turner has 37 receptions. The Northern Illinois Huskies ground game is averaging 213.3 yards per contest, and Joel Bouagnon leads the way with 1,213 yards and 18 touchdowns. Defensively, Northern Illinois is allowing 24.8 points and 391.8 yards per game. Boomer Mays leads the Huskies with 92 tackles, Shawun Lurry has eight interceptions and Perez Ford has five sacks. Tommylee Lewis is questionable with an ankle injury.

The Falcons are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Huskies are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. 

Bowling Green is the most consistent team in the MAC and has topped 40 points in six of its last eight games. Hard to see Northern Illinois keeping up when its on its fifth string quarterback. I like the Falcons to win this by two touchdowns. 

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