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South Florida vs. Western Kentucky - 12/21/15 College Football Miami Beach Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (11-2) at South Florida Bulls (7-4)

College Football: Monday, December 21, 2015 at 2:30 pm (Marlins Park)

The Line: South Florida Bulls +3 -- Over/Under: 64 See the Latest Odds


The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and South Florida Bulls will face off in the Miami Beach Bowl on Monday, November 21st in College Football action.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers had an outstanding season winning the C-USA Championship and finishing the season with an overall record of 11-2 (8-0 C-USA). Outside of their 41-38 victory against Louisiana Tech early in the season, the Hilltoppers went on and defeated every C-USA opponents by at least double-digits. Offensively, Western Kentucky is averaging 44.2 ppg on 519.8 yards per game (365.4 passing, 154.4 rushing). Leading the way for the Hilltoppers has been QB Brandon Doughty who completed 71.8% of his passes for 45 TD’s and 7 INT while averaging 353.4 yards per game. Doughty ended the season finishing 2nd in all of college football in total passing yards with 4594. Doughty has a ton of weapons on the offensive end with WR Taywan Taylor (104.8 yds/game, 17 TD), WR Nicholas Norris (65.5 yds/game, 4 TD), Jared Dangerfield (57.8 yds/game, 7 TD), Antwane Grant (47.7 yds/game, 7 TD) and TE Tyler Higbee (62.6 yds/game, 8 TD). The Hilltoppers rushing attack is led by RB Anthony Wales (98.60 yds/game, 7 TD) and D’Andre Ferby (50.33 yds/game, 11 TD). Defensively, Western Kentucky is allowing opponents to average 25.2 ppg on 390.5 yards per game (234.5 passing, 156.0 rushing). The Hilltoppers have forced 31 turnovers on the season and had a turnover margin of 16.

South Florida vs. Western Kentucky - 12/21/15 College Football Miami Beach Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The South Florida Bulls won 7 of their last 8 games to finish the season 8-4 record while finishing in 2nd in the AAC-East standings with a 6-2 conference record. The Bulls seemed to be unstoppable during their last three weeks of the regular season as they defeated Temple, Cincinnati, and UCF by a combined score of 153-53. Offensively, South Florida is averaging 33.5 ppg on 428.7 total yards per game (185.8 passing, 242.9 rushing). The Bulls have been led by RB Marlon Mack who finished the season with 8 TD while averaging 115.73 yds/game. QB Quinton Flowers is a duel-threat QB that finished the season completing 60.9% of his passes for 21 TD & 8 INT while averaging 168.1 yds/game. Flowers added 10 rushing TD’s on the season while gaining an average of 73.58 rushing yds/game. Leading the way for Bulls receivers were WR Rodney Adams (57.2 yds/game, 8 TD), D’Ernest Johnston (28.8 yds/game, 4 TD), and Sean Price (25.5 yds/game, 5 TD). Defensively, South Florida is holding their opponents to an average of 21.1 ppg on 361.2 total yards per game (220.6 passing, 140.6 rushing). The Bulls forced opponents into committing 23 turnovers on the season and had a turnover margin of 8.

The Hilltoppers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

Western Kentucky is one of the better non-power conference teams in the country and has one of the QB’s in all of college football in Brandon Doughty. South Florida has looked outstanding as of late and showed in their losses against Navy and Memphis that they compete with anyone. This is going to be one of the games I’m really looking forward to watch and although South Florida has been playing lights out, I think the Western Kentucky’s offense will be too much for the Bulls in this one and that they will be able to cover this small spread. I’m taking Western Kentucky to cover.  

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