Mississippi State vs. South Alabama - 9/3/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
South Alabama Jaguars (5-7) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (9-4)
College Football: Saturday, September 3, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field)
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -31 -- Over/Under: 58.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: SEC Network
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the South Alabama Jaguars face off on Saturday in week one college football action.
For the Mississippi State Bulldogs, a lot of the talk is about who is gone, QB and leader Dak Prescott, rather than about what is left. MSU QB Nick Fitzgerald has big shoes to fill but he did get some playing time last season. Mississippi State receiver Fred Ross is the best of the bunch but he is banged up but speedster Donald Gray can stretch the defense. The Bulldogs offensive line returns three starters but they were a sieve last season but the running game with Brandon Holloway and Aeris Williams should help out keeping the heat off. The Mississippi State defense will be switching to a 3-4 and defensive end A.J. Jefferson returns to blow up game plans by getting into the backfield and Nick James will move to the nose. Bulldogs linebacker Richie Brown is NFL caliber and was one of the top tacklers in the SEC last season and safety Brandon Bryant has superstar potential. This is seen as a rebuilding year for Mississippi State and they may come up and bite some teams that overlook them.
USA TODAY Sports
The South Alabama jaguars enter the 2016 college football season with little expectations. Dallas Davis appears to be the starting QB for USA as he served as the backup last season attempting 23 passes. Jaguars running back Xavier Johnson is back as is Tyreis Thomas as the running game is the strength of the offense. South Alabama tight end Gerald Everett is the best pass catcher on the team though they have three senior wide receivers in Tyronne Williams, Josh Magee, and Cameron Broadnax. Defensively South Alabama runs a 4-2-5 and are led by Roman Buchanan who was all conference at safety last year and who moves up to OLB this season. Meanwhile Kalen Jackson moves from linebacker to USA’s secondary. The South Alabama defensive line has some holes and they will count on Tre Alford to step up. I am personally not convinced that South Alabama is going to be able to compete against the better teams.
Mississippi State is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games and 5-1 against the spread in their last six games in September. South Alabama is 5-15 against the spread in their last 20 games, 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 road games, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five non-conference games.
The total in this one is set at 57 but I don’t see it getting that high so my free pick here is the under.