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SMU vs. TCU - 9/23/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

TCU Horned Frogs (2-1) at SMU Mustangs (2-1)

College Football: Friday, September 23, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)

The Line: SMU Mustangs +23 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The TCU Horned Frogs and SMU Mustangs meet Friday night at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on ESPN.

The TCU Horned Frogs take to the road for the first time after a 2-1 start in their first three games. Kenny Hill is completing 65.2 percent of his passes for 1,045 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions. Hill has nine pass completions of 25 or more yards in the first three games. KaVontae Turpin and Taj Williams have combined for 380 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Kyle Hicks has 15 receptions. The TCU Horned Frogs ground game is averaging 215.6 yards per contest, and Hicks leads the way with 225 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, TCU is allowing 34 points and 406.3 yards per game. Ty Summers leads the Horned Frogs with 26 tackles, Aaron Curry has 2.5 sacks and Denzel Johnson has three pass deflections.

SMU vs. TCU - 9/23/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The SMU Mustangs look for back-to-back wins for the first time since November of 2013. Ben Hicks is completing 48.2 percent of his passes for 583 yards, two touchdowns and five interceptions. Hicks has five completions this season of 25 or more yards. Courtland Sutton and James Proche have combined for 542 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Xavier Castille has nine receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 244.6 yards per contest, and Braeden West leads the way with 332 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 25 points and 403.3 yards per game. Darrion Millines leads the Mustangs with 22 tackles, Justin Lawler has 4.5 sacks and Jordan Wyatt has three interceptions.

The Horned Frogs are 12-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September. The Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September. The Horned Frogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings. 

I'm not laying more than three touchdowns with a road team on short rest. SMU has had great success running the ball and will enter this game with confidence given its solid start. TCU has flaws and isn't the same team capable of rolling off 60 points at the drop of the hat. This should be a high-scoring game where the Mustangs can hang around.

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