Texas State vs. Houston - 9/24/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Houston Cougars (3-0) at Texas State Bobcats (1-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 24, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Bobcat Stadium)
The Line: Texas State Bobcats +33 -- Over/Under: 62.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The 6th ranked Houston Cougars will travel to Bobcat Stadium (TX) to take on the Texas State Bobcats this Saturday night in College Football action.
The 6th ranked Houston Cougars used a big 4th quarter to defeat the Cincinnati Bearcats, 40-16, and improve to 3-0 (1-0 AAC) on the season. Houston found themselves down 16-12 after an early TD from the Bearcats in the 4th quarter but scored 28 unanswered points the rest of the way, which included back to back defensive TD’s, to secure the victory. Leading the way for Houston was QB Greg Ward Jr. who despite playing with a sore shoulder, finished the game with 326 passing yds and 3 total TD’s (1 passing, 2 rushing). On the season, Houston is averaging 38.3 ppg on 475.7 total yards per game (259.0 passing, 216.7 rushing). The Cougars offense is led by duel-threat QB, Greg Ward Jr. who is averaging over 360 yds of total offensive per game (323.5 passing yds/game, 37.0 rushing yds/game) and has a combined 5 TD’s on the season. Houston has used a RB by committee approached which is led by Duke Catalon (19.0 att/game, 77.5 yds/game), Mulbah Car (12.5 att/game, 67.0 yds/game, TD), and Kevrin Justice (13.5 att/g, 55.5 yds/game, 2 TD). The leading receivers for Houston have been Linell Bonner (5.0 rec/game, 76.0 yds/game), Steven Bunbar (3.7 rec/game, 50.0 yds/game), and Chance Allen (2.7 rec/game, 43.0 yds/game). Defensively, Houston is holding their opponents to an average of 13.0 ppg on 257.7 total yards per game (219.3 passing, 38.3 rushing).
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The Texas State Bobcats fell to 1-1 (0-0 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the 24th ranked Arkansas Razorbacks, 42-3, this past Saturday. Texas State had little chance in this contest as they found themselves down by a 35-0 margin at halftime and was outgained by the Razorbacks by a 467-105 margin. Leading the way the Bobcats was RB Stedman Mayberry who had 34 rushing yards on 10 carries. On the season, Texas State is averaging 29.5 ppg on 325.5 total yards per game (261.5 passing, 64.0 rushing). QB Tyler Jones is the Bobcats biggest offensive weapon and has completed 63.0% of their passes for 4 TD’s and 3 INT on the season, while averaging 250.5 yds/game. Jones does a nice job spreading the ball out to his receivers as Texas State has five receivers who average at least 3 catches and 30.0 yds/game. The receiving core is led by WR Elijah King (4.0 rec/game, 64.5 yds/game, 2 TD), WR Eric Luna (5.5 rec/game, 49.5 yds/game, 1 TD), and TE Gabe Schrade (4.0 rec/game, 42.0 yds/game). The Bobcats backfield is led by Stedman Mayberry who averages 56.5 yds/game and has 1 TD. Defensively, Texas State is allowing their opponents to average 48.0 ppg on 548.5 total yards per game (317.0 passing, 231.5 rushing).
The Cougars are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. Sun-Belt opponents and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bobcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston is worthy of their top-10 ranking as they have an outstanding QB in Greg Ward Jr. and one of the best defenses in the country. Texas State is currently in rebuilding mode under first year head coach Everett Withers and although they were able to pick up a nice 56-54 (3-OT) victory to start their season against Ohio, the Bobcats will more likely play like the team that put up only 105 yards recently against Arkansas. This is a lot of points to cover on the road but as I see the Bobcats struggling just as much on the offensive end as they did against Arkansas, I see Houston easily winning this one by at least 40. Take Houston to cover.