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Troy Trojans vs. New Mexico State Aggies - 9/24/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Mexico State Aggies (1-2) at Troy Trojans (2-1)

College Football: Saturday, September 24, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Veterans Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Troy Trojans -20 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The New Mexico State Aggies will travel to play the Troy Trojans in a Sun Belt Conference game in week 4.

The Troy Trojans are 2-1 this season after beating Southern Miss by a score of 37-31. Troy led by 7 points at the half, and was able to hang on for the win in the second half. The Troy offense is averaging 39.3 points per game with 236.7 rushing yards per game and 230.3 passing yards per game. Brandon Silvers is completing 56.2% of his passes for 585 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions for Troy. Jordan Chunn has rushed for 381 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Josh Anderson has rushed for 119 yards and 1 touchdown for the Trojans. Deondre Douglas has caught 19 passes for 172 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Emanuel Thompson has caught 16 passes for 142 yards and 2 touchdowns for Troy. The Troy defense is giving up 26 points per game with 124.3 rushing yards and 238.7 passing yards per game. William Lloyd leads the Troy defense with 16 tackles and 1 tackle for loss, while Josh Marshall has added 13 tackles and 1 interception. Ryan Kay has gone 5-7 on field goals for Troy, with a long of 60 yards.

Troy Trojans vs. New Mexico State Aggies - 9/24/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The New Mexico State Aggies are 1-2 this season after losing to Kentucky by a score of 62-42 in week 3. New Mexico State was able to hang around with Kentucky in a high scoring game, before the Wildcats pulled away late in the game. The New Mexico State offense is averaging 32 points per game with 154.7 rushing yards and 229.3 passing yards per game. Tyler Rogers is completing 49.5% of his passes for 657 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions for New Mexico State. Rogers also has 154 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns, while Xavier Hall has added 163 rushing yards and 1 touchdown for the Aggies. Royce Caldwell has caught 7 passes for 186 yards, while OJ Clark has caught 13 passes for 103 yards for New Mexico State. The New Mexico State defense is giving up 43.7 points per game with 297 rushing yards per game and 218.3 passing yards per game. Rodney Butler has led the New Mexico State defense with 51 tackles and 4 tackles for loss, while Terrill Hanks has added 37 tackles and 1 interception. Parker Davidson has gone 5-5 on field goals with a long of 45 yards for the Aggies.

New Mexico State is 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 conference games. The over is 21-5 in New Mexico State’s last 26 road games. Troy is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 September games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The over is 17-4 in Troy’s last 21 home games.

Troy comes into this game as a big favorite at home, while New Mexico State will look to get back to .500 on the season. Troy showed everyone that they were a good team this year by fighting Clemson all game in week 2, losing by just 6 points. New Mexico State has struggled on defense and may be without their starting running back, Larry Rose III, for another week. I like Troy to win this game, but I like New Mexico State to keep it respectable. 

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