Tulane vs. Louisiana-Lafayette - 9/24/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (2-1) at Tulane Green Wave (1-2)
College Football: Saturday, September 24, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Yulman Stadium)
The Line: Tulane Green Wave -5.5 -- Over/Under: 49 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns will travel to Yulman Stadium to take on the Tulane Green Wave this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns improved to 2-1 (1-0 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the South Alabama Jaguars, 28-23, this past Saturday. Louisiana Lafayette got a huge game from Elijah McGuire which included a 68-yard TD run midway through the 4th quarter which helped the Ragin Cajuns secure the victory. Louisiana Lafayette outgained the Jaguars by a 512-338 margin however, did lose the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for the Ragin’ Cajuns was RB Elijah McGuire who had 223 yards and TD on 23 carries. On the season, Louisiana Lafayette is averaging 22.7 ppg on 389.7 total yards per game (204.0 passing, 185.7 rushing). Offensively, Louisiana Lafayette has been led by RB Elijah McGuire who has 1 TD on the season and is averaging 136.0 yds/game. Duel threat QB Anthony Jennings has completed 67.5% of his passes with 5 TD’s and 2 INT while averaging 204.0 yds/game. Jennings is also the Ragin’ Cajuns 2nd leading rusher with 2 TD’s while averaging 30.3 rushing yds/game. The main threats at the WR position for Louisiana Lafayette have been Al Riles (4.0 rec/game, 64.7 yds/game, TD), Ja’Marcus Bradley (3.3 rec/game, 53.7 yds/game, TD), and Keenan Barnes (2.0 rec/game, 25.7 yds/game, 2 TD). Defensively, Louisiana Lafayette is allowing their opponents to average 30.0 ppg on 428.7 total yards per game (318.3 passing, 110.3 rushing).
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The Tulane Green Wave fell to 1-2 (0-1 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the Navy Midshipmen, 21-14, this past Saturday. Tulane had a 14-13 lead late in the 4th quarter but allowed a Will Worth TD run with just under 3 minutes left to play in which they couldn’t come back from. Tulane was outgained by Navy by a 346-261 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for Tulane was RB Dontrell Hilliard who had 97 yards and a TD. On the season, Tulane is averaging 27.7 ppg on 330.0 total yards per game (55.7 passing, 274.3 rushing). Tulane has a run-first offense that is led by RB Dontrell Hilliard (11.0 att/game, 78.67 yds/game, 4 TD), QB Johnathan Brantley (10.5 att/game, 74.0 yds/game), Josh Rounds (7.67 att/game, 48.0 yds/game, 3 TD), and Lazedrick Thompson (5.33 att/game, 23.0 yds/game, 2 TD). QB Glen Guiellette has completed 13 of 25 passes on the season for just 139 yards and an INT. The Green Wave have no receivers that have more than 5 catches and 50 yards on the season and has been led by Terren Encalade who had 5 catches for 24 yards. Defensively, Tulane is holding their opponents to an average of 16.3 ppg on 285.3 total yards per game (145.3 passing, 140.0 rushing).
The Ragin’ Cajuns are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win and 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Green Wave are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Louisiana Lafayette’s win against South Alabama was impressive and outside of their 45-10 loss to Boise State this season, it looks like the Ragin Cajun defense has improved from 2015. Tulane is getting used to the run-heavy gameplan of first year head coach Willie Fritz and although the Green Wave is just 1-2 on the season, they played both Wake Forest and Navy very tough as they lost to both of these teams by just a combined 11 points. Tulane is favorite at home in this one however, Louisiana Lafayette should have some success on offensive in this one and as the strength of their defense is against the run, I think the Ragin’ Cajuns will keep this one close enough to cover with the points. Take Louisiana Lafayette and the points.