UNLV vs. Idaho - 9/24/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Idaho Vandals (1-2) at UNLV Rebels (1-2)
College Football: Saturday, September 24, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Sam Boyd Stadium)
The Line: UNLV Rebels -13 -- Over/Under: 63 See the Latest Odds
TV: Campus Insiders
The Idaho Vandals will travel to Sam Boyd Stadium to take on the UNLV Rebels this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Idaho Vandals fell to 1-2 on the season after being defeated by the Washington State Cougars, 56-6, this past Saturday. Idaho Vandals were down by a 21-3 margin at halftime and allowed the Cougars to score 28 unanswered points in the 4th quarter in the loss. Idaho was outgained by Washington State by a 509-257 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for the Vandals was QB Matt Linehan who finished with 172 passing yards. On the season, Idaho is averaging 13.3 ppg on 312.0 total yards per game (175.0 passing, 137.0 rushing). Offensively, Idaho has been led by WR Deon Watson who had 10 receptions for 170 yards. QB Matt Linehan has completed 54.8% of his passes with a TD and INT while averaging 162.3 passing yds/game. Besides, Watson, Idaho’s receivers are led by Trent Cowan (2.3 rec/game, 29.7 yds/game, TD) and Alfonso Onunwor (3.0 rec/game, 24.3 yds/game) The Idaho backfield is led by RB Aaron Duckworth who had 2 TD’s and is averaging 60.3 yds/game. Defensively, Idaho is allowing their opponents to average 44.0 ppg on 432.0 total yards per game (277.3 passing, 154.7 rushing).
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The UNLV Rebels dropped their 2nd straight game and fell to 1-2 (0-0 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Central Michigan Chippewas, 44-21, this past Saturday. UNLV was down by just a 28-21 margin at halftime but was held scoreless in the 2nd half by Central Michigan in the loss. UNLV was outgained by Central Michigan by a 499-313 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for UNLV was RB Lexington Thomas who had 113 yards and a TD on 17 carries. On the season, UNLV is averaging 35.0 ppg on 381.3 total yards per game (169.0 passing, 212.3 rushing). Offensively, the Rebels have been led by RB Lexington Thomas who had 4 TD’s on the season and is averaging 97.67 yds/game. Charles Williams has also been productive in the backfield as he has a TD and averages 43.3 yds/game. QB Johnny Stanton has completed 44.4% of his passes with 5 TD’s and 4 INT while averaging 167.0 passing yds/game. Stanton’s main targets at the receiver position has been WR Devonte Boyd (3.0 rec/game, 73.0 yds/game, 3 TD), Darren Woods Jr. (2.3 rec/game, 34.3 yds/game, TD), and Mekhi Stevenson (2.3 rec/game, 24.3 yds/game, TD). Defensively, UNLV is allowing their opponents to average 33.0 ppg on 416.7 total yards per game (258.7 passing, 158.0 rushing).
The Vandals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss however, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games however, just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Idaho doesn’t have many seasons left at the FBS level as they will become an FCS in two years and although the offensive does have some experience in QB Matt Linehan and WR Deon Watson, the defense is young in the front seven and is coming a 2015 season in which they ranked T-122 in scoring defense at 42.1 points a game. UNLV has struggled for many years however, the Rebels seem to be headed in the right direction under Head Coach Tony Sanchez, and although they are just 1-2, they did play UCLA tough earlier this season. It’s been a long time since either of these teams have had winning records, however, UNLV is clearly the better team and more talent at the skilled positions and I think they provide the home crowd with a solid win on Saturday. Take UNLV to cover in this one.