Utah State vs. Air Force - 9/24/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Air Force Falcons (2-0) at Utah State Aggies (2-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 24, 2016 at 10:15 pm (Romney Stadium)
The Line: Utah State Aggies +3 -- Over/Under: 57 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The Air Force Falcons will travel to Romney Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Air Force Falcons didn’t have a game last weekend and will enter this contest with a 2-0 (0-0 MW) record on the season after defeating the Georgia State Panthers, 48-14, on September 10th. Air Force looked outstanding against Georgia State as they easily defeated the Panthers after taking a 41-14 lead at the end of the 3rd quarter. Air Force outgained the Panthers by a 531-169 margin and held the Panthers to just 27 rushing yards in the victory. Leading the way for the Falcons was QB Nate Romine who had 124 rushing yards on 20 carries while adding 67 yards through the air. On the season, Air Force is averaging 42.5 ppg on 566.5 total yards per game (134.0 passing, 432.5 rushing). Offensively, Air Force uses an option rushing attack that ranked 4th in the country in rushing yards in 2015. So far in 2016, the Falcons have 6 players that are averaging at least 40.0 rushing yards/game and are led by Jacobi Owens (9.5 att/game, 88.5 yds/game, TD), D.J. Johnson (18.5 att/game, 69.5 yds/game), and QB Nate Romine (13.5 att/game, 66.0 yds/game). QB Nate Romine has completed just 8 of 19 passes for 251 yards and 2 TD. Leading the way for the Air Force receivers has been Jalen Robinette who had 4 receptions for 74 yards and a TD. Defensively, Air Force is holding their opponents to an average of 17.5 ppg on 264.5 total yards per game (208.0 passing, 56.5 rushing).
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The Utah State Aggies improved to 2-1 on the season after defeating the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 34-20, this past Saturday. Utah State jumped all over Arkansas State as they held a 24-0 led at halftime and held on late to secure the victory. Utah State was outgained by Arkansas State by a 357-334 margin but did win the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin. Leading the way for the Aggies was RB Tonny Lindsey who had 98 rushing yards and 2 TD’s. On the season, Utah State is averaging 28.7 ppg on 371.7 total yards per game (146.7 passing, 225.0 rushing). Offensively, Utah State is led by the rushing duo of Devante Mays (13.0 att/game, 116.0 yds/game, 3 TD) and Tonny Lindsey (11.33 att/game, 60.67 yds/game, 3 TD). QB Kent Myers has completed 59.5% of his passes with 2 TD’s and 2 INT while averaging 146.7 passing yds/game. The Aggies receiving core has been led by Rayshad Lewis (3.0 rec/game, 44.3 yds/game), Wyatt Houston (3.3 rec/game, 31.0 yds/game, TD) and Ron’Quavion Tarver (2.3 rec/game, 20.3 yds/game, TD). Defensively, Utah State is holding their opponents to an average of 23.7 ppg on 341.3 total yards per game (222.7 passing, 118.7 rushing). RB Devante Mays is currently questionable for this matchup due to a knee injury.
The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Aggies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Both of these teams know how to run the football and play defense however, the fact that Utah State might not have their lead back in Devante Mays could make it very tough for the Utah State Aggies to hang around with Air Force. Utah State is a tough place to play however, I think their defense will have trouble with the Air Force option in this one and I just think this line is too low currently not to go with the Falcons. Take Air Force to cover.