UConn at Houston - 9/29/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
UCONN Huskies (2-2) at Houston Cougars (4-0)
College Football: Thursday, September 29, 2016 at 8:00 pm (TDECU Stadium)
The Line: Houston Cougars -27.5 -- Over/Under: 51 See the Latest Odds
The UConn Huskies and Houston Cougars meet Thursday night in a AAC showdown at TDECU Stadium on ESPN.
The UConn Huskies look for their third win over a ranked team since the 2012 season. Bryant Shirreffs is completing 66.9 percent of his passes for 819 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Shirreffs has one or less touchdown passes in 12 straight games. Noel Thomas, Jr. and Hergy Mayala have combined for 577 receiving yards and one touchdown while Tyler Davis has nine receptions. The UConn Huskies ground game is averaging 139.2 yards per contest, and Arkeel Newsome leads the way with 211 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, UConn is allowing 22.5 points and 381 yards per game. Obi Melifonwu leads the Huskies with 36 tackles, Folorunso Fatukasi has one sack and Jamar Summers has one interception.
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The Houston Cougars haven’t lost a home game since November of 2014 against Tulane. Greg Ward Jr. is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 936 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Ward has two or more touchdown passes in three of his last six games. Linell Bonner and Steven Dunbar have combined for 509 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Chance Allen has 12 receptions. The Houston Cougars ground game is averaging 223.2 yards per contest, and Duke Catalon leads the way with 225 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Houston is allowing 10.5 points and 228.8 yards per game. Matthew Adams leads the Cougars with 24 tackles, Steven Taylor has 5.5 sacks and Howard Wilson has three interceptions.
The Huskies are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 road games and 15-34-3 ATS in their last 52 games overall. The Cougars are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games on turf and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
UConn did beat Houston last season and still has a very solid defense that is more than capable of holding its own. On the flipside, this game is on the road unlike last seasons and Ward missed much of that game with a banged up ankle. This is a lot of points to lay, which always makes me uncomfrtable. However, the Huskies have no offense whatsoever outside of Newsome and that will be the teams downfall here.
Houston should win this in blowout fashion.