Arizona State at USC - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona State Sun Devils (4-0) at USC Trojans (1-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 8:30 pm (Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum)
The Line: USC Trojans -10 -- Over/Under: 64 See the Latest Odds
The Arizona State Sun Devils and USC Trojans meet Saturday night in a Pac-12 matchup at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.
The Arizona State Sun Devils have a chance to get off to 5-0 start for the first time since the 2007 season. Manny Wilkins is completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 1,085 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions. Wilkins has moved the chains 49 times through the air this season. Tim White and N'Keal Harry have combined for 409 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Cameron Smith has 10 receptions. The Arizona State Sun Devils ground game is averaging 236.5 yards per contest, and Demario Richard leads the way with 348 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, ASU is allowing 34.3 points and 499 yards per game. Armand Perry leads the Sun Devils with 27 tackles, Koron Crump has three sacks and De'Chavon Hayes has two interceptions.
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The USC Trojans are desperate for a victory after a brutal 1-3 start to the 2016 college football season. Sam Darnold is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 389 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Darnold and Max Browne have combined for four touchdowns and three interceptions. Darreus Rogers and JuJu Smith-Schuster have combined for 408 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Steven Mitchell Jr. has 15 receptions. The USC Trojans ground game is averaging 143 yards per contest, and Justin Davis leads the way with 261 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, USC is allowing 29.3 points and 394.5 yards per game. Cameron Smith leads the Trojans with 43 tackles, Porter Gustin has two sacks and Leon McQuay III has one interception.
The Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Trojans are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Southern California and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings overall.
This is a ton of points to lay with a USC team that's been a mess all year while Arizona State is unbeaten and feeling confident with an offense that is scoring left and right. However, USC is tough to beat at home and has had extra rest considering it played last Thursday. However, I don't like the line in this matchup regardless. Instead, I'm going to side with the over considering both defenses are ranked outside the top-70 in yards allowed. You can score on both ASU and USC, and the winner of this matchup has scored at least 38 points in the last five years.
Expect a truckload of points yet again.