Indiana vs. Michigan State - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Michigan State Spartans (2-1) at Indiana Hoosiers (2-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Indiana Hoosiers +7.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Michigan State Spartans and Indiana Hoosiers meet in a key Big Ten matchup Saturday night at Memorial Stadium.
The Michigan State Spartans have not lost back-to-back games since November of 2012. Tyler O'Connor is completing 61 percent of his passes for 655 yards, five touchdowns and five interceptions. O'Connor has moved the chains 34 times through the air this season. Donnie Corley and Monty Madaris have combined for 363 receiving yards and one touchdown while R.J. Shelton has 11 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 168.6 yards per contest, and LJ Scott leads the way with 264 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, MSU is allowing 23.7 points and 314.7 yards per game. Demetrious Cox leads the Spartans with 23 tackles, Raequan Williams has two sacks and Jon Reschke has one interception.
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The Indiana Hoosiers have a chance for their first ranked victory since beating Missouri in September of 2014. Richard Lagow is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 1,002 yards, seven touchdowns and five interceptions. Lagow has moved the chains 36 times through the air this season. Nick Westbrook and Ricky Jones have combined for 558 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Mitchell Paige has 15 receptions. The Indiana Hoosiers ground game is averaging 182.6 yards per contest, and Devine Redding leads the way with 313 yards on 64 carries. Defensively, Indiana is allowing 22 points and 351.3 yards per game. Tegray Scales leads the Hoosiers with 22 tackles, A’Shon Riggins has one sack and Rashard Fant has one interception.
The Spartans are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 road games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Hoosiers are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Spartans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Indiana and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings overall.
Michigan State looked downright awful against Wisconsin to the point I'm having questions about this team, especially it's quarterback play. If the Spartans can't move the ball, they're going to lose this game outright on the road against an Indiana team that can put points up quickly. However, Mark Dantonio hasn't lost two straight games since 2012 and the Spartans have outscored the Hoosiers 150-71 in the last three meetings.
I'm iffy on this line, but MSU is the smarter play.