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Kentucky at Alabama - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kentucky Wildcats (2-2) at Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0)

College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Bryant-Denny Stadium)

The Line: Alabama Crimson Tide -35.5 -- Over/Under: 57.5 See the Latest Odds


The Kentucky Wildcats and Alabama Crimson Tide square off Saturday night in a SEC matchup at Bryant-Denny Stadium on ESPN.

The Kentucky Wildcats have a chance to beat their third ranked team since the 2010 season. Stephen Johnson is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 490 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Johnson and Drew Barker have combined for seven touchdown passes this season. Jeff Badet and Garrett Johnson have combined for 457 receiving yards and three touchdowns while C.J. Conrad has seven receptions. The Kentucky Wildcats ground game is averaging 196.7 yards per contest, and Stanley Boom Williams leads the way with 464 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Kentucky is allowing 35.3 points and 463 yards per game. Jordan Jones leads the Wildcats with 43 tackles, Denzil Ware has three sacks and Blake McClain has two interceptions.

Kentucky at Alabama - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Alabama Crimson Tide haven’t lost to an unranked team since their loss to the Auburn Tigers in 2007. Jalen Hurts is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 727 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. Hurts and Blake Barnett have combined for seven touchdown passes this season. Calvin Ridley and ArDarius Stewart have combined for 429 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Gehrig Dieter has six receptions. The Alabama Crimson Tide ground game is averaging 246.2 yards per contest, and Damien Harris leads the way with 345 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Alabama is allowing 14.8 points and 280.3 yards per game. Reuben Foster leads the Crimson Tide with 29 tackles, Jonathan Allen has three sacks and Eddie Jackson has one interception.

The Wildcats are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

There's always concerns with Alabama and big numbers, as this is a team that can beat most unranked clubs by 60 points but often pulls its foot off the gas and wins by 30 points. Kentucky has some talent and has played Alabama close in the past. However, the Wildcats don't have the quarterback play or overall depth to compete with the Crimson Tide. Kentucky is also a team that's allowed 38 or more points in four of its last five games. Not my favorite bet on the board, but Alabama should smash Kentucky in this contest without much effort. 

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