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North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-1) at North Texas Mean Green (2-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Apogee Stadium)

The Line: North Texas Mean Green +16 -- Over/Under: 60 See the Latest Odds

TV: Campus Insiders

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will travel to Apogee Stadium to take on the North Texas Mean Green this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders improved to 3-1 (0-0 C-USA) on the season after defeating the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, 38-34, this past Saturday. Middle Tennessee found themselves down by a 20-7 margin at halftime however, used a 21-point 4th quarter to pull off the come from behind victory. Middle Tennessee was outgained by Louisiana tech by a 622-553 margin but did win the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for Middle Tennessee was RB I’Tavius Mathers who had 163 rushing yards and 3 TD’s. On the season, Middle Tennessee is averaging 39.5 ppg on 541.3 total yards per game (367.0 passing, 174.3 rushing). Offensively, leading the way for the Blue Raiders has been QB Brent Stockstill who has completed 63.8% of his passes for 13 TD and 3 INT while averaging 340.5 passing yds/game. RB I’Tavius Mathers has been outstanding in the Blue Raider backfield has he has 7 TD’s and is averaging 111.75 rushing yds/game on 17.0 att/game. Stockstill’s main receiving target has been Richie James who is averaging 8.3 rec/game and 104.8 yds/game and has 3 TD’s on the season. RB I’Tavius Mathers (4.5 rec/game, 65.0 yds/game, 2 TD), WR Patrick Smith (4.3 rec/game, 49.8 yds/game, 2 TD), and Ty Lee (4.3 rec/game, 42.3 yds/game, 3 TD) have also played major roles in the Blue Raiders passing attack. Defensively, Middle Tennessee is allowing their opponents to average 25.5 ppg on 386.3 total yards per game (200.0 passing, 186.3 rushing).

North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The North Texas Mean Green improved to 2-2 (1-0 C-USA) after defeating the Rice Owls, 42-35 in 2-OT, this past Saturday. The Mean Green Defense came up big in OT and secured the victory after stopping Rice’s RB, Darik Dillard, on a 4th-and-1 attempt. North Texas was outgained by Rice by a 491-439 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin. Leading the way for the Mean Green was RB Jeffrey Wilson who had 157 rushing yards and 3 TD’s in the victory. On the season, North Texas is averaging 26.0 ppg on 334.0 total yards per game (180.5 passing, 153.5 rushing). Offensively, North Texas has been led by RB duo of Jeffrey Wilson (14.25 att/game, 88.0 yds/game, 6 TD) and Willy Ivery (9.33 att/game, 48.0 yds/game, 3 TD). Freshman QB Mason Fine has completed 50.0% of his passes for a TD and INT while averaging 118.0 passing yds/game. Thaddeous Thompson (3.0 rec/game, 43.5 yds/game, TD), Willie Robinson (2.5 rec/game, 30.3 yds/game), Kenny Buyers (1.8 rec/game, 28.5 yds/game), and Terian Goree (3.3 rec/game, 23.5 yds/game) have been the most active receivers for the Mean Green. Defensively, North Texas is allowing their opponents to average 30.3 ppg on 441.3 total yards per game (206.5 passing, 234.8 rushing).

The Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games however, just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss. The Mean Green are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.

North Texas already has surpassed their 2015 win total and certainly seems to be playing with more energy under 1st year Head Coach, Seth Littrell, however, the Mean Green are still at least a couple of years away from competing in the C-USA. Middle Tennessee was able to defeat North Texas by a 41-7 margin last season and as I don’t see the Mean Green having any answers for Brent Stockstill or I’Tavius Mathers, I think the Blue Raiders roll in this one and cover this large road spread. 

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