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Ole Miss vs. Memphis - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Memphis Tigers (3-0) at Ole Miss Rebels (2-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Vaught-Hemingway Stadium)

The Line: Ole Miss Rebels -14.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: SEC Network or ESPN 2

The Ole Miss Rebels and the Memphis Tigers face off on Saturday in Week 5 College Football action.

The Ole Miss Rebels are 2-2 this season after pounding Georgia last Saturday 45-14. The Ole Miss offense is averaging 40 points, 131.8 rushing yards, and 326.5 passing yards per game and they have turned the ball over 8 times. Rebels QB Chad Kelly has completed 65.4 percent of his passes with 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions and he has rushed for 124 yards and a touchdown. Akeem Judd leads Mississippi in rushing with 194 yards and 2 touchdowns and Evan Ingram has 26 receptions with 3 touchdowns and Damore’ea Stringfellow and Van Jefferson each have 14 catches. The Ole Miss defense is allowing 30 points and 447 yards per game with 1 interception, 3 fumble recoveries, and 7 sacks. DeMarquis Gates is Ole Miss’ top tackler with 30 including 2 sacks, Terry Caldwell has 24 tackles, and Zedrick Woods has 21 tackles. Ole Miss has losses to ranked teams where they gave up big leads.

Ole Miss vs. Memphis - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Memphis Tigers are off to a 3-0 start and are coming off of a 77-3 beat down win over Bowling Green. The Memphis offense is averaging 51.7 points, 185 rushing yards, and 293 passing yards per game and they have turned the ball over 3 times. Tigers QB Riley Ferguson has completed 67 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Patrick Taylor leads the Memphis rushing attack with 223 yards and a touchdown and Doroland Dorceus has 178 yards rushing and 3 touchdowns while Anthony Miller leads in receiving with 17 catches and 2 touchdowns. Memphis is allowing 9 points and 287 yards per game with 7 interceptions, 4 fumble recoveries, and 3 sacks. Jonathan Cook leds the Tigers defense with 18 tackles, Genard Avery has 16 tackles, and Chris Morley has 15 tackles. This is a step up for Memphis but they know that Ole Miss will be gunning for them after last year’s win in this game.

Ole Miss is 5-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 home games, and 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games. Memphis is 18-7-1 against the spread in their last 26 non-conference games, 1-7-1 against the spread against the SEC, and 12-5-2 against the spread in their last 19 road games. The underdog is 6-2-1 against the spread in the last nine meetings of these two teams.

I see Memphis having the firepower to put points on the board and at the very least they keep this close enough to cover the spread.  

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