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Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas Longhorns (2-1) at Oklahoma State Cowboys (2-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Boone Pickens Stadium)

The Line: Oklahoma State Cowboys -3 -- Over/Under: 24 See the Latest Odds


On Saturday, October 1 at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, we’ve got Week 5 college football activity coming between the Texas Longhorns and the Oklahoma State Cowboys. 

Texas comes into this game with a 2-1 record following a 50-43 defeat against Cal in their most recent outing. The Longhorns defense allowed Cal QB Davis Webb to toss four touchdown passes in that one, the final of which would break a tie with 3:41 to play and prove to be the deciding score. Texas QB Shane Buechele logged a 19-of-33 line for 196 yards, one touchdown and one interception in that game, with Armanti Foreman getting most of the attention on four receptions for 72 yards. D’Onta Foreman was the Longhorns’ leading rusher with 21 carries for 157 yards and two scores, while Chris Warren would add 18 carries of his own for 119 yards and a pair of touchdowns. 

Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


On the season for Texas, Buechele holds a 57-of-86 mark for 720 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Foreman leads the Longhorns in rushing with 45 carries for 288 yards and three touchdowns. Texas’ leading receiver so far has been John Burt, with 12 receptions for 175 yards and one score. 

As for the Cowboys, they enter Week 5 with a 2-2 record fresh off a 35-24 loss to Baylor this past Saturday. Oklahoma State allowed Baylor QB Seth Russell to toss four touchdown passes, with his final one coming in the third quarter as the go-ahead score. The Cowboys’ Mason Rudolph couldn’t keep pace, ending up with a 27-for-45 mark for 279 yards, no touchdowns and one interception. Oklahoma State’s lead receiver was James Washington (six receptions; 89 yards) while Justice Hill kept the Cowboys close on the ground with 20 carries for 122 yards and one score. 

So far this year for Oklahoma State, that gives Rudolph a 98-of-159 line for 1296 yards and six touchdowns with two picks. Hill leads the Cowboys with 44 carries for 211 yards and one score, while Washington has put up 25 receptions for 488 yards and three TDs in 2016. 

Texas is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game, and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Texas is also 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game, and 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. 

Meanwhile, Oklahoma State is 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 games in October, and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight-up loss. Oklahoma State is also 1-5 ATS versus a team with a winning record, and 0-4 ATS in their last four conference games. 

Both the Cowboys’ and Longhorns’ defenses are fairly permissive, so this should be a relatively high-scoring game. That considered, Texas’ offense seems better equipped to put points on the board, as they’re more of a well-rounded unit. I expect both Foremans to get plenty of work (and put up some big numbers) for the Longhorns here, making Texas one of the more attractive underdogs in college football this week.

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