Virginia at Duke - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Virginia Cavaliers (1-3) at Duke Blue Devils (2-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 12:30 pm (Wallace Wade Stadium)
The Line: Duke Blue Devils -3.5 -- Over/Under: 61 See the Latest Odds
The Virginia Cavaliers and Duke Blue Devils meet Saturday afternoon in a ACC showdown at Wallace Wade Stadium.
The Virginia Cavaliers have a chance to win back-to-back games for the first time since September of 2014. Kurt Benkert is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 1,119 yards, 10 touchdowns and five interceptions. Benkert has thrown six picks on 168 career pass attempts. Olamide Zaccheaus and Doni Dowling have combined for 554 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Keeon Johnson has 21 receptions. The Virginia Cavaliers ground game is averaging 129.7 yards per contest, and Albert Reid leads the way with 274 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Virginia is allowing 32.3 points and 482 yards per game. Micah Kiser leads the Cavaliers with 40 tackles, Andrew Brown has two sacks and Kareem Gibson has one interception.
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The Duke Blue Devils could use back-to-back wins to get a game above a .500 record. Daniel Jones is completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 1,090 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions. Jones has moved the chains through the air 50 times this season. Anthony Nash and T.J. Rahming have combined for 538 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Johnathan Lloyd has 14 receptions. The Duke Blue Devils ground game is averaging 167.5 yards per contest, and Jela Duncan leads the way with 314 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Duke is allowing 22.3 points and 360.3 yards per game. DeVon Edwards leads the Blue Devils with 29 tackles, A.J. Wolf has four sacks and Breon Borders has two interceptions.
The Cavaliers are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games in October. The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Duke and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings overall.
The home team has won five of the last six meetings between these two teams and Duke has the most impressive victory this season which came last week against Notre Dame. Virginia is a lot better than expected but is also a team that's lost 17 straight road games. The Virginia Cavaliers have not won a road game since beating North Carolina State in November of 2012. No, thank you. The Duke Blue Devils should be able to win this game and cover the small line.