Colorado State vs. Utah State - 10/8/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Utah State Aggies (2-3) at Colorado State Rams (2-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 10:00 pm (Hughes Stadium)
The Line: Colorado State Rams +6 -- Over/Under: 51 See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The Utah State Aggies will travel to Hughes Stadium (CO) to take on the Colorado State Rams this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Utah State Aggies lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 2-3 (0-2 MW) on the season after being defeated by the 24th ranked Boise State Broncos, 21-10, this past Saturday. Utah State played the Broncos tough however, had trouble generating much offense along with stopping the talented Jeremy McNichols. Utah State was outgained by Boise State by a 384-358 margin and only gained 71 rushing yards in the loss. Leading the way for Utah State was QB Kent Myers who completed 29 of 50 passes for 287 passing yards and a TD. On the season, Utah State is averaging 23.2 ppg on 377.4 total yards per game (219.8 passing, 157.6 rushing). Offensively, the Aggies have been led by the rushing duo of Devante Mays (9.0 att/g, 78.0 yds/g, 3 TD) and Tonny Lindsey (11.8 att/g, 43.0 yds/g, 3 TD). QB Kent Myers has completed 59.7% of his passes for 4 TD and 3 INT while averaging 217.4 passing yds/game. Myers main targets at the receiver positions have been WR Rayshad Lewis (3.8 rec/g, 53.4 yds/g, TD), WR Ron’Quavion Tarver (4.2 rec/g, 46.6 yds/g, TD), WR Andrew Rodriguez (3.4 rec/g, 34.8 yds/g, TD) ad TE Wyatt Houston (2.8 rec/g, 27.6 yds/g, TD). Defensively, Utah State is holding their opponents to an average of 23.8 ppg on 346.8 total yards per game. The Aggies have done a solid job limiting their turnovers and currently have a turnover margin of +2.
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The Colorado State Rams lost their 2nd consecutive game and dropped to 2-3 (0-1 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Wyoming Cowboys, 38-17, this past Saturday. Colorado State had all sorts of trouble stopping Wyoming’s Brain Hill and couldn’t fight back after falling behind 38-17 after the 3rd quarter. Colorado State outgained Wyoming by a 481-434 margin however, lost the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for the Rams was QB Collin Hill who completed 23 of 41 passes for 370 passing yards, 1 TD and an INT. On the season, Colorado State is averaging 23.6 ppg on 394.4 total yards per game (215.2 passing, 179.2 rushing). Offensively, the Rams have been led by freshman QB Collin Hill who has completed 58.7% of his passes for 6 TD and 2 INT while averaging 223.3 passing yds/g. WR Michael Gallup (3.8 rec/g, 50.8 yds/g, 2 TD), WR Olabisi Johnson (1.8 rec/g, 28.2 yds/g, TD) and TE Danny Nwosu (2.2 rec/g, 25.4 yds/g) have been the leading receivers for Colorado State on the season. Colorado State’s backfield consisted of Izzy Matthews (8.6 att/g, 41.8 yds/g, TD), Dalyn Dawkins (13.25 att/g, 50.75 yds/g, TD) and Marvin Kinsey Jr (8.4 att/g, 36.80 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Colorado State is allowing their opponents to average 29.6 ppg on 415.0 total yards per game (242.2 passing, 172.8 rushing). Colorado has struggled with turnovers as they currently have a -4 turnover margin on the season.
The Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October and 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home however, just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Utah State knew the start of Mountain West play was going to be difficult with games against Air Force and Boise State but have to feel that the wins will start coming as their defense held the Falcons and Broncos to just a combined 48 points. Colorado State has had a difficult start to their season as not only did the Rams lose at home in their conference opener against Wyoming, but also got embarrassed against their in-state rival, the Colorado Buffaloes, to begin their season. Utah State has had trouble generating offense early on in the season (ranked 103rd in scoring offense), however, I think Kent Myers and Devante Mays should be able to find the end zone against the Rams defense that ranks 77th in scoring defense. Colorado State has to be encouraged with the play of their young QB, Colin Hill, however, I think the Aggies defense will give Hill more than he is going to be able to handle and Utah State will be able to cover this small road spread. Take Utah State to cover.