Tennessee Volunteers at Texas A&M Aggies - 10/8/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Tennessee Volunteers (5-0) at Texas A&M Aggies (5-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Kyle Field)
The Line: Texas A&M Aggies -6.5 -- Over/Under: 56 See the Latest Odds
Over at Kyle Field in College Station on Saturday, October 8, we’ve got a great-looking college football matchup on tap as the Tennessee Volunteers visit the Texas A&M Aggies. The winner here could very well move into the top five in the national rankings.
Tennessee comes into this game at a perfect 5-0, and is coming off a nail-biter 34-31 victory over Georgia last Saturday. That game finished in the most epic of ways: a Joshua Dobbs Hail Mary pass to Jauan Jennings on the final play of the game that gave the Volunteers the victory. On the day, Dobbs ended up at a 16-of-26 line for 230 yards and three touchdowns, while Alvin Kamara led the Tennessee running game with 16 carries for 62 yards. Jennings ended up as the Volunteers’ leading receiver with three catches for 71 yards and the winning touchdown.
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So far this year for Tennessee, Dobbs is 77-of-133 for 1035 yards, 13 touchdowns and six interceptions. Jalen Hurd leads the rushing attack with 101 carries for 407 yards and two scores, while Josh Malone is the Volunteers’ main receiver with 15 catches for 310 yards and five TDs.
Over on the Texas A&M side, they’re coming into this weekend’s game at a perfect 5-0 as well. The Aggies’ latest victory came this past Saturday with a 24-13 win over South Carolina. QB Trevor Knight was a big factor in Texas A&M’s victory once again, providing a 23-of-40 line for 206 yards through the air and 84 yards with a touchdown on 12 carries. Knight got some help putting the Aggies over the top from Trayveon Williams (14 carries; 98 yards; TD) and Jeremy Tabuyo (four receptions; 89 yards).
On the season, Knight has been an offensive powerhouse for Texas A&M with 1261 yards and seven touchdowns passing alongside 392 yards and six rushing touchdowns. Williams leads the team in rush yards with 54 carries for 487 yards and four scores, while Josh Reynolds is atop the Aggies’ receiving corps with 20 receptions for 399 yards and three TDs.
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record, and 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Tennessee is also 4-1 ATS in their last five road games, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games.
Meanwhile, Texas A&M is 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall, and 8-18 ATS in their last 26 conference games. Texas A&M is also 2-5 ATS versus a team with a winning record, and 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss.
Tennessee has scored at least 28 points in their last four games, but on the flip-side they’ve allowed at least 24 points in three of their last four—including a season-high 31 this past weekend. Texas A&M likes to throw—preferably short, but they’ll likely attack the Volunteers defense’s weakness, which is long passes outside the hashmarks. With timely pass protection, the Aggies could bang out a few big-gainers early to keep the Volunteers honest on defense. Tennessee has been playing with fire all year with these big comeback wins, but I don’t think they’ve got enough gas to pull another one out against Texas A&M—who is a very good second-half team. I’ll take the Aggies.