Mississippi State at BYU - 10/14/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-3) at BYU Cougars (3-3)
College Football: Friday, October 14, 2016 at 10:15 pm (LaVell Edwards Stadium)
The Line: BYU Cougars -7 -- Over/Under: 58 See the Latest Odds
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and BYU Cougars meet Friday night in a week 7 college football game at LaVell Edwards Stadium on ESPN.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs look for their second road win of the season to get back to a .500 record. The Mississippi State Bulldogs have not lost back-to-back games since the end of the 2014 season. Nick Fitzgerald is completing 57.4 percent of his passes for 784 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Fitzgerald has five touchdown passes in his last two games. Fred Ross and Donald Gray have combined for 575 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Brandon Holloway has 14 receptions. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 196.2 yards per contest, and Fitzgerald leads the way with 390 yards on 64 carries. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 26.2 points and 371.4 yards per game. Richie Brown leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 42 tackles, A.J. Jefferson has three sacks and Kivon Coman has two interceptions.
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The BYU Cougars look to build on their win over Michigan State while getting a game above a .500 record. The BYU Cougars have won seven of their last eight home games. Taysom Hill is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 1,255 yards, six touchdowns and six interceptions. Hill has at least one touchdown pass in four straight games. Nick Kurtz and Jonah Trinnaman have combined for 450 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Colby Pearson has 18 receptions. The BYU Cougars ground game is averaging 210 yards per contest, and Jamaal Williams leads the way with 866 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, BYU is allowing 25.8 points and 404.5 yards per game. Fred Warner leads the BYU Cougars with 45 tackles, Sae Tautu has three sacks and Kai Nacua has four interceptions.
The Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. The Cougars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. The over is 8-3 in Cougars last 11 vs. a team with a losing record and the under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games overall.
Mississippi State is not the Mississippi State of last year and has struggled on both sides of the ball, especially on the defensive side. BYU got off to a shaky start but seems to have gotten back on track with Hill throwing the ball well and Williams running like the top-10 back he has the ability to be. When the BYU Cougars are getting the job done offensively, they're tough to beat when you add the fact their defense creates turnovers. BYU is also very good at home with wins in seven of its last eight.
I'll take BYU by a touchdown against the shaky Mississippi State Bulldogs.