Army Black vs. Lafayette - 10/15/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Lafayette Leopards (0-0) at Army Black Knights (3-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 15, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Michie Stadium)
The Line: Army Black Knights -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The Lafayette Leopards will travel to Michie Stadium to take on the Army Black Knights this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The FCS Lafayette Leopards lost their 4th straight game and dropped to 1-5 (0-2 Patriot League) on the season after being defeated by the Fordham Rams, 58-34, this past Saturday. Lafayette had no answers on the defensive end for the Rams and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 41-20 margin at halftime. Lafayette was outgained by Fordham by a 709-437 margin and allowed the Rams to gain an incredible 516 rushing yards. Leading the way for Lafayette was QB Blake Searfoss who completed 25 of 41 passes for 325 yards, TD, and 2 INT. On the season, Lafayette is averaging 22.8 ppg on an average of 349.2 total yards per game (276.7 passing, 72.5 rushing). Offensively, Lafayette has been led by QB Drew Reed who had completed 67.2% of his passes for 8 TD and 6 INT while averaging 202.4 yds/game. Reed, who missed last game due to a concussion, would be replaced by QB Blake Searfoss who has completed 66.0% of his passes for 5 TD and 3 INT for an average of 108.0 yds/g so far this season. Matt Mrazek (7 rec/g, 75.7 yds/g, 8 TD) and D. Wadsworth (4.5 rec/g, 61.0 yds/g, TD) are the leading the receivers for the Leopards. Lafayette’s backfield has been led by DeSean Brown (13.75 att/g, 46.2 yds/g, TD) and Kyle Mayfield (6.5 rec/g, 19.0 yds/g, TD). Defensively, Lafayette is allowing their opponents to average 32.7 ppg on 426.0 total yards per game (180.7 passing, 245.3 rushing).
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The Army Black Knights lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 3-2 on the season after being defeated by the Duke Blue Devils, 13-6, this past Saturday. Army had trouble getting their rushing game going under the tough weather conditions from Hurricane Matthew and finished the game going just 2 for 13 on 3rd down conversations. Army outgained Duke by a 214-189 margin but did fumble the ball 4 times, losing possession on two of them. Leading the way for Army was RB Andy Davidson who had 120 yards and a TD on 16 carries. On the season, Army is averaging 30.2 ppg on 409.2 total yards per game (76.4 passing, 332.8 rushing). Offensively, Army used a triple-option attack and currently has the 2nd ranked rushing offense in College Football. Army’s rushing attack is led by RB Andy Davidson (19.2 att/g, 106.8 yds/g, 7 TD), QB Ahmad Bradshaw (15.0 att/g, 59.4 yds/g, 2 TD), RB Jordan Asberry (5.8 att/g, 36.0 yds/g, 2 TD), and RB Darnell Woolfolk (10.0 att/g, 40.5 yds/g, 4 TD). QB Ahmad Bradshaw has completed just 12 of 29 passes on the season for 0 TD and an INT while averaging 40.8 yds/g. Christian Poe is the leading receiver for the Black Knights and is averaging 1.3 rec/g for 22.3 yds/g. Defensively, Army is holding their opponents to an average of 15.4 ppg on 249.6 total yards per game (150.6 passing, 99.0 rushing).
Army is 3-2-0 ATS in their last 5 games.
Army has started the season with 4 of their first 5 games on the road and outside of their disappointing loss at Buffalo, the Black Knights have been very impressive this season as they rank in the top 10 in rushing offense, passing defense, and scoring defense. Lafayette finished last season with just a 1-10 record and after giving up over 500 yards on the ground against Fordham, look as if they will once against be in the cellar of the FCS Patriot League. This matchup will feature one of the best FBS rushing attacks against one of the worst FCS rushing defenses. This game has yet to be lined and has a good chance of not even being lined at all, but unless it’s an unrealistic number, I’m leaning towards Army.