Wake Forest Demon Deacons (5-1) at Florida State Seminoles (4-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 15, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Doak Campbell Stadium)
The Line: Florida State Seminoles -25.5 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
Headed our way on Saturday, October 15 from Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium, we’ve got some interesting ACC college football activity going on in Week 7 as the Wake Forest Demon Deacons face the Florida State Seminoles.
Wake Forest enters this game at 5-1 on the season, following a big 28-9 win over Syracuse. In that one, the Deacons carried a 14-9 lead into the fourth quarter, then scored two late TDs to ice the victory. Wake Forest QB John Wolford led the way here, going 13-of-22 for 140 yards passing, and carrying 12 times for 94 yards and two touchdowns. Cade Carney got the bulk of the rushing work for the Demon Deacons, with 29 carries for 104 yards and a TD, while Cam Serigne managed four catches for 68 yards.
So far on the year for Wake Forest, Wolford has put up a 79-of-138 line for 826 yards and a 3:2 TD:INT ratio. Matt Coburn still leads the Demon Deacons’ rushing stats with 87 carries for 361 yards and a TD, while Tabari Hines is the top receiver with 17 receptions for 226 yards and one TD.
Over on the Florida State side, they’re sitting at 4-2, and are fresh off a gritty 20-19 win over Miami (FL). The Seminoles survived here due to a blocked point-after attempt with just 1:38 left on the clock. That blocked kick would prove to be the difference in the Florida State win. Seminoles QB Deondre Francois finished 20-of-31 for 234 yards and two TDs, while Dalvin Cook had a good day on the ground with 27 carries for 150 yards. Kermit Whitfield was the receiving leader for Florida State with seven grabs for 83 yards and a TD.
On the season, Francois is 116-of-184 for 1557 yards and nine scores for the Seminoles, while Cook leads the backs with 134 carries for 785 yards and seven touchdowns. Jesus Wilson is still the receiving leader for Florida State on 29 grabs for 388 yards and one TD.
Wake Forest is 4-1 ATS in their last five road games, and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. Wake Forest is also 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight-up win, and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
Meanwhile, Florida State is 7-1 ATS in their last eight games on grass, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Florida State is also 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games, and 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight-up win.
This game will mark the beginning of a tough patch in the Demon Deacons’ schedule as they close out the year. FSU is also the toughest opponent Wake Forest has faced this season, and I’m a little concerned about the Demon Deacons’ ability to make a game of it. Wake Forest looked lost in that 33-16 defeat by North Carolina State, and hasn’t scored more than 33 points this season—in fact, most of the Deacons’ wins (four) have come with 28 points or fewer. That’s a red flag against a Florida State team that has posted at least 35 points in four of their six games. Still, with the line as thick as it is, I think Wake Forest can cover here—but it will be close.