Houston vs. Tulsa - 10/15/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-1) at Houston Cougars (5-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 15, 2016 at 7:00 pm (TDECU Stadium)
The Line: Houston Cougars -23.5 -- Over/Under: 69.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane will travel to TDECU Stadium to take on the 6th ranked Houston Cougars this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane won their 3rd straight game and improved to 4-1 (1-0 AAC) on the season after defeating the SMU Mustangs, 43-40 in OT, this past Friday. Tulsa was able to hold the Mustangs to just a FG in OT and was able to win their 2nd straight OT game with a 14-yard TD run by QB Dane Evans. Tulsa outgained SMU by a 562-412 margin however, did lose the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for Tulsa was RB D’Angelo Brewer who had a TD and 182 rushing yards on 38 carries. On the season, Tulsa is averaging 39.4 ppg on 472.4 total yards per game (244.0 passing, 228.4 rushing). Offensively, Tulsa has been led by the rushing duo of D’Angelo Brewer (27.0 att/g, 143.2 yds/g, 4 TD) and James Flanders (12.4 att/g, 78.0 yds/g, 4 TD). QB Dane Evans has completed 58.6% of his passes for 9 TD and 7 INT while averaging 227.0 yds/g. Keevan Lewis (7.2 rec/g, 101.6 yds/g, 5 TD), Josh Atkinson (6.4 rec/g, 70.8 yds/g, 2 TD), and Justin Hobbs (4.0 rec/g, 52.0 yds/g, 2 TD) have been the biggest threats at the WR position for the Golden Hurricane. Defensively, Tulsa is allowing their opponents to average 32.0 ppg on 387.4 total yards per game (232.0 passing, 155.4 rushing). Tulsa has committed 11 turnovers on the season and has a turnover margin of -3.
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The 6th ranked Houston Cougars fell to 5-1 (2-1 AAC) on the season after being upset by the Navy Midshipmen, 46-40, this past Saturday. Houston, who came into the game with one of the toughest rushing defenses in the country, had no answers for the Navy triple-option attack and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 41-27 margin after the 3rd-quarter. Houston outgained Navy by a 484-382 margin however, lost the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin and gave up 359 rushing yards to the Midshipmen. Leading the way for the Cougars was QB Greg Ward Jr. who completed 32 of 50 passes for 359 yards, 3 TD and 2 INT while also chipping in a 94 yards and a TD on the ground. On the season, Houston is averaging 43.5 ppg on 502.3 total yards per game (313.7 passing, 188.7 rushing). Offensviely, Houston is led by duel-threat QB Greg Ward Jr. who has completed 68.9% of his passes for 11 TD and 4 INT while averaging 336.8 passing yds/game. On the ground, Greg Ward Jr. has 6 rushing TD’s on the season and averages 54.4 yds/game. Houston’s main threats at the receiver positon have been Linell Bonner (7.0 rec/g, 92.7 yds/g, 2 TD), Steven Dunbar (5.0 rec/g, 73.0 yds/g, 3 TD), and Chance Allen (4.3 rec/g, 58.8 yds/g, 2 TD). Leading the Cougars backfield has been Duke Catalon who averages 75.0 rushing yds/game and has 1 TD. Defensively, Houston is holding their opponents to an average of 17.0 ppg on 272.0 total yards per game (186.0 passing, 86.0 rushing). Houston has a turnover margin of -1.
The Golden Hurricane are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Tulsa comes into this game with the 25th ranked rushing offense and scoring offense in the country, however, has once against struggled keeping opponents off the board as they rank 94th in the country in scoring defense. Houston has to be disappointed with their loss to Navy as not only did they get dominated against the rush, but the Cougars probably no longer have a shot of making the FBS Playoffs. Even with the loss, Houston still has one of the best rated defenses in the country as they rank 14th in scoring defense and 4th in rushing defense. Tulsa certainly has the ability to put up some points, but I certainly don’t think the Golden Hurricane have much of a shot against an angry Houston team on the road. As I think the Cougars will be able to limit the Tulsa rushing attack and score at will with Greg Ward Jr. leading the way, I’m taking Houston to cover this large home spread.