Michigan State vs. Northwestern - 10/15/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Northwestern Wildcats (2-3) at Michigan State Spartans (2-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 15, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Spartan Stadium)
The Line: Michigan State Spartans -4 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Northwestern Wildcats and Michigan State Spartans meet in a college football Big Ten matchup at Spartan Stadium.
The Northwestern Wildcats could use another strong road victory to get back to a .500 record. The Northwestern Wildcats have won six of their last seven road games overall. Clayton Thorson is completing 54.4 percent of his passes for 1,120 yards, eight touchdowns and four interceptions. Thorson has seven touchdown passes in his last three games. Austin Carr and Flynn Nagel have combined for 596 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Macan Wilson has seven receptions. The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 126 yards per contest, and Justin Jackson leads the way with 510 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 19.8 points and 404.6 yards per game. Jaylen Prater leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 46 tackles, Ifeadi Odenigbo has five sacks and Jared McGee has one interception.
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The Michigan State Spartans are desperate for a victory in hopes of snapping a three-game losing streak. The Michigan State Spartans have not lost more than three games since the 2012 season. Tyler O'Connor is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 976 yards, eight touchdowns and five interceptions. O'Connor has three touchdown passes in his last three games. R.J. Shelton and Donnie Corley have combined for 499 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Monty Madaris has 15 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 153.2 yards per contest, and LJ Scott leads the way with 311 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 25.2 points and 355.8 yards per game. Montae Nicholson leads the Michigan State Spartans with 41 tackles, Raequan Williams has two sacks and Jon Reschke has one interception.
The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Spartans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Michigan State and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Michigan State is simply falling apart and hasn't shown many signs of turning things around the last few weeks. Michigan State can't get stops on the defensive end and is having a hard time of putting points on the board due to poor quarterback play. The road team has also won eight of the last nine meetings between these two clubs, so there's reason to back Northwestern and the points. However, this is one of those games where I see Michigan State simply finding a way to right the ship and getting the victory. The low line makes this an easier bet for me with the Spartans at home.
Look for Michigan State to beat Northwestern in Spartan Stadium.