Ole Miss at Arkansas - 10/15/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Ole Miss Rebels (3-2) at Arkansas Razorbacks (4-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 15, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium)
The Line: Arkansas Razorbacks +7.5 -- Over/Under: 67 See the Latest Odds
The Ole Miss Rebels and Arkansas Razorbacks meet Saturday night in a week 7 SEC college football game at Razorback Stadium on ESPN.
The Ole Miss Rebels have won three of their last four games and take the road for the first time this season. The Ole Miss Rebels have split their last eight road games. Chad Kelly is completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 1,596 yards, 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. Kelly has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 11 games. Evan Engram and Damore'ea Stringfellow have combined for 784 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Van Jefferson has 21 receptions. The Ole Miss Rebels ground game is averaging 157 yards per contest, and Akeem Judd leads the way with 302 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Ole Miss is allowing 29.6 points and 449.4 yards per game. DeMarquis Gates leads the Ole Miss Rebels with 30 tackles, Marquis Haynes has three sacks and Zedrick Woods has two interceptions.
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The Arkansas Razorbacks look for a bounce back performance after losing two of their last three games. The Arkansas Razorbacks have three wins over ranked teams since last season. Austin Allen is completing 63.6 percent of his passes for 1,632 yards, 15 touchdowns and five interceptions. Allen has two or more touchdown passes in six straight games. Jared Cornelius and Drew Morgan have combined for 752 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Keon Hatcher has 18 receptions. The Arkansas Razorbacks ground game is averaging 176.3 yards per contest, and Rawleigh Williams III leads the way with 605 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Arkansas is allowing 27.5 points and 398.2 yards per game. Brooks Ellis leads the Arkansas Razorbacks with 42 tackles, Deatrich Wise Jr. has three sacks and Henre' Toliver has one interception.
The Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. The Rebels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Arkansas and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 meetings overall.
I'm not sure why Arkansas is such a heavy underdog at home against an Ole Miss club that struggles to finish games against above average teams. Yes, Arkansas looked bad against Texas A&M and Alabama, but both the Aggies and the Crimson Tide are legit top-10 teams and those losses don't change how I see the Razorbacks. The Arkansas Razorbacks are still a physical, tough team to play and I'm not going to lay this many points with an Ole Miss club that always finds ways to lose games.
This line is simply confusing and maybe oddmakers know something we don't. Either way, I'm taking my free touchdown and the home team.