Hawaii vs. UNLV - 10/16/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Hawaii vs. UNLV - 10/16/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

UNLV Rebels (2-4) at Hawaii Warriors (3-3)

College Football: Sunday, October 16, 2016 at 12:00 am (Aloha Stadium)

The Line: Hawaii Warriors -7 -- Over/Under: 58.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The UNLV Rebels will travel to Aloha Stadium to take on the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors his Saturday night in College Football action.

The UNLV Rebels dropped to 2-4 (1-1 MW) on the season after being defeated by San Diego State Aztecs, 26-7, this past Saturday. UNLV has trouble generating any offense against the Aztecs and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 20-7 margin at the end of the 3rd quarter. UNLV was outgained by San Diego State by a 460-122 margin. Leading the way for the Rebels was QB Dalton Sneed who although completed just 2 of 12 passes for 9 yards and an INT, did rush for 56 yards on 12 carries. On the season, UNLV is averaging 31.2 ppg on 383.0 total yards per game (136.7 passing, 246.3 rushing). Offensively, the Rebels have been led by the RB duo of Lexington Thomas (15.0 att/g, 83.2 yds/g, 7 TD) and Charles Williams (9.7 att/g, 55.7 yds/g, 2 TD). QB Dalton Sneed will be starting in place of Johnny Stanton, who is out a few more weeks due to injury, and has completed just 37.9% of his passes for 144 yards, TD, and an INT. Devonte Boyd (3.3 rec/g, 56.3 yds/g, 3 TD) and Darren Woods Jr. (2.2 rec/g, 31.5 yds/g, TD) are the biggest weapons at the receiver position for the Rebels. Defensively, UNLV is allowing their opponents to average 29.7 ppg on 408.0 total yards per game (244.0 passing, 235.7 rushing). UNLV currently has a turnover margin of 0 on the season.

The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors won their 2nd straight game and improved to 3-3 (2-0 MW) on the season after defeating the San Jose State Spartans, 34-17, this past Saturday. Hawai’i used a 21-point 2nd quarter to take a 24-10 halftime lead and scored the last 10 points of the game to secure the win. Hawai’i outgained San Jose State by a 431-339 margin and won the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin. Leading the way for the Rainbow Warriors was QB Dru Brown who completed 24 of 33 passes for 287 yards and 2 TD while adding a TD and 54 yards on the ground. On the season, Hawai’i is averaging 29.2 ppg on 419.7 total yards per game (226.3 passing, 193.3 rushing). Offensively, the Rainbow Warriors have been led by the running duo of Diocemy Saint Juste (14.17 att/g, 83.67 yds/g, 2 TD) and Steven Lakalaka (9.14 att/g, 48.0 yds/g, 6 TD). QB Dru Brown has been outstanding since taking over the starting duties from Ikaika Woolsey as Brown has completed 67.9% of his passes for 4 TD and INT while averaging 142.8 yds/g. WR Marcus Kemp (5.0 rec/g, 85.0 yds/g, 4 TD), WR John Ursua (3.0 rec/g, 39.3 yds/g, TD), and TE Metuisela `Unga (1.0 rec/g, 20.2 yds/g, 3 TD) are the leading receivers for the Rainbow Warriors. Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing their opponents to average 38.5 ppg on 479.7 total yards per game (244.0 passing, 235.7 rushing). Hawai’i has committed 13 turnovers on the season and have a turnover margin of -5.

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The Rebels are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Rainbow Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall however, just 1-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

UNLV continues to improve under 2nd year head coach Tony Sanchez however, still need to get better on the defensive end as they rank 73rd in total defense. Hawai’i has played really well over their last two games as although their defense ranks 116th in scoring defense, the Rainbow Warriors held their last two opponents to just 17 points each. Without Johnny Stanton, UNLV doesn’t have the same threat in the passing game with Dalton Sneed and as Dru Brown has been outstanding with both his arm and legs and has helped Hawai’i cut down on their turnovers, I’m taking the Rainbow Warriors to cover this TD spread at home. Take Hawai’i to cover. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Brett’s Pick Hawaii Rainbow Warriors -7

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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