Boise State vs. BYU - 10/20/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
BYU Cougars (4-3) at Boise State Broncos (6-0)
College Football: Thursday, October 20, 2016 at 10:15 pm (Albertsons Stadium)
The Line: Boise State Broncos -7.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN HD
The BYU Cougars will travel to Albertsons Stadium to take on the 14th ranked Boise State Broncos this Thursday night in College Football action.
The BYU Cougars won their 3rd straight game and improved to 4-3 on the season after defeating the Mississippi State Bulldogs, 28-21 in 2OT, this past Friday. BYU scored an early 4th quarter TD to tie the game and got a big sack from Sae Tautu and Logan Taele in the 2nd OT to help secure the victory for the Cougars. BYU was outgained by Mississippi State by a 386-311 margin. Leading the way for BYU was QB Taysom Hill who completed 16 of 28 passes for 3 TD and an INT. On the season, BYU is averaging 28.1 ppg on 405.0 total yards per game (204.1 passing, 200.9 rushing). Offensively, the Cougars have been led by RB Jamall Williams who has 10 TD’s on the season while averaging 134.8 yards per game. QB Taysom Hill has completed 60.2% of his passes for 9 TD and 7 INT while averaging 202.9 passing yds/game. Taysom Hill also can get it down with his legs as he has 4 rushing TD’s and averages 46.3 rushing yds/game. Nick Kurtz (4.0 rec/g, 42.0 yds/g, TD), Jonah Trinnaman (2.7 rec/g, 32.1 yds/g, TD), Colby Pearson (3.1 rec/g, 31.6 yds/g, 2 TD), and Moroni Laulu-Pututau (2.4 rec/g, 26.6 yds/g, 2 TD) are the leading receivers for BYU. Defensively, BYU is allowing their opponents to average 25.1 ppg on 401.9 total yards per game (270.7 passing, 131.1 rushing). BYU has forced their opponents into committing 16 turnovers and have an overall turnover margin of +6.
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The 14th ranked Boise State Broncos stayed perfect on the season and improved to 6-0 (3-0 MW) after defeating the Colorado State Rams, 28-23, this past Saturday. Boise State used an A.J. Richardson TD to open up a 28-3 lead early in the 4th quarter and held on late to secure the victory. Boise State outgained Colorado State by a 444-373 margin and committed just 3 penalties in the win. Leading the way for Boise State was RB Jeremy McNichols who had 2 TD’s on 264 total yards (217 rushing, 47 receiving). On the season, Boise State is averaging 35.3 ppg on 466.7 total yards per game (300.3 passing, 166.3 rushing). Offensively, the Broncos have been led by RB Jeremy McNichols who has 11 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 129.17 rushing yds/game. McNichols also can get it down on the receiving end as he has 3 receiving TD’s while averaging 3.3 rec/game and 43.8 yds/game. QB Brett Rypien has completed 62.2% of his passes for 12 TD and 3 INT while averaging 270.3 passing yds/game. Thomas Sperbeck (6.3 rec/g, 116.8 yds/g, 6 TD), Cedrick Wilson (3.8 rec/g, 72.0 yds/g, 5 TD), and Chaz Anderson (3.0 rec/g, 36.8 yds/g) have been the leading receivers for the Broncos. Boise State has only forced 3 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of -3.
The Cougars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning road record however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
BYU might not stand out on the stat sheet as they rank just 69th in total offense and 67th on total defense, however, the Cougars are one of the most well-balanced teams in the country and have done a great job forcing turnovers. Boise State is certainly the team to beat in the Mountain West this season led by one of the best running backs in the country in Jeremy McNichols. BYU three losses this season have by a combined 7 points against Utah (away), UCLA, and West Virginia. Boise State has the 23rd ranked scoring defense however, I think Taysom Hill and Jamall Williams will be able to do enough on the road to keep this game within a TD. Take BYU and the points.