San Diego State vs. San Jose State - 10/21/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Jose State Spartans (2-5) at San Diego State Aztecs (5-1)
College Football: Friday, October 21, 2016 at 10:30 pm (Qualcomm Stadium)
The Line: San Diego State Aztecs -22.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The San Jose State Spartans will travel to Qualcomm Stadium to take on the San Diego State Aztecs this Friday night in College Football action.
The San Jose State Spartans snapped their 4-game losing streak and improved to 2-5 (1-2 MW) on the season after defeating the Nevada Wolfpack, 14-10, this past Saturday. San Jose State got a 3-yard TD run by Kenny Potter with just 50 seconds left in the game to take the lead and secure the victory. San Jose State outgained Nevada by a 279-257 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for the Spartans was QB Kenny Potter who completed 11 of 17 passes for 142 yards while adding 2 rushing TD’s. On the season, San Jose State has averaged 25.0 ppg on 375.3 total yards per game (214.6 passing, 160.7 rushing). Offensively, San Jose State has been led by QB Kenny Potter who has completed 58.5% of his passes for 9 TD and 6 INT while averaging 191.3 passing yds/game. Potter also has chipped in with 4 rushing TD’s on the season even though he is averaging just 10.3 rushing yds/game. The Spartan backfield has been led by Malik Roberson (9.3 rec/g, 47.0 yds/g, TD), Deontae Cooper (11.0 att/g, 46.7 yds/g, 2 TD), and Zamore Zigler (10.0 att/g, 62.2 yds/g, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Spartans receivers has been Tre Hartley (3.6 rec/g, 60.3 yds/g, 2 TD), Justin Holmes (2.9 rec/g, 52.1 yds/g, 2 TD), and Tim Crawley (3.1 rec/g, 37.9 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, San Jose State is allowing their opponents to average 35.7 ppg on 444.0 total yards per game (215.7 passing, 228.3 rushing). San Jose has forced 14 turnovers on the season however, have just an overall turnover margin of 0.
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The San Diego State Aztecs won their 2nd straight game and improved 5-1 (2-0 MW) on the season after defeating the Fresno State Bulldogs, 17-3, this past Saturday. San Diego State was outstanding defensively in this one and had little trouble securing the victory after taking a 17-3 lead at the end of the 3rd quarter. San Diego State outgained Fresno State by a 364-217 margin and won the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin. Leading the way for the Aztecs was Donnel Pumphrey who had 2 TD while gaining 220 rushing yards. On the season, the Aztecs have been led by RB Donnel Pumphrey who has 11 TD on the season while averaging 185.2 rushing yds/game on 27.8 att/game. Also in the backfield is Rashaad Penny who has chipped in 3 TD while averaging 57.8 rushing yds/game. QB Christian Chapman has completed 62.8% of his passes for 8 TD and 2 INT while averaging 164.0 passing yds/game. Mikah Holder (2.5 rec/g, 59.7 yds/g, 3 TD), Eric Judge (2.2 rec/g, 24.8 yds/g), Donnel Pumphrey (3.0 rec/g, 21.8 yds/g), and Rashaad Penny (1.0 rec/g, 19.5 yds/g, 3 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Aztecs. Defensively, San Diego State is holding their opponents to an average of 20.0 ppg on 297.2 total yards per game (199.2 passing, 98.0 rushing). San Diego State has forced 12 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of +6.
The Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October however, just 2-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Aztecs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss and 8-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
San Jose State got a strong defensive effort in their win against Nevada, however, the Spartans will need to continue to show improvement on the defensive end as San Jose State ranks 110th in scoring defense. San Diego State has held their last two opponents to just a combined 10 points and have the 27th ranked scoring defense in the country. The Aztecs have arguably the best RB in the country in Donnel Pumphrey and as the Spartans have the 113th ranked rushing defense, I think San Diego State will put up enough points in front of their home crowd to cover this large spread. Take San Diego State to cover.