Appalachian State vs. Idaho - 10/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Idaho Vandals (4-3) at Appalachian State Mountaineers (4-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Kidd Brewer Stadium)
The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers -21 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Idaho Vandals will travel to Kidd Brewer Stadium to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Idaho Vandals improved to 4-3 (2-1 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the New Mexico State Aggies, 55-23, this past Saturday. Idaho had little trouble with the Aggies defense used 21 unanswered points in the 3rd quarter to put this game away. Idaho outgained New Mexico State by a 651-428 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for the Vandals was QB Matt Linehan who completed 29 of 36 passes for 476 passing yards and 5 total TD (4 passing, 1 rushing). On the season, Idaho is averaging 25.0 ppg on 376.3 total yards per game (233.3 passing, 143.0 rushing). Offensively, the Vandals have been led by QB Matt Linehan who has completed 58.1% of his passes for 8 TD and 4 INT while averaging 227.0 passing yds/game. Linehan does a solid job spreading the ball around as he has five receivers who average between 30.0 and 50.0 receiving yds/game. Leading the way for the Vandals receivers are TE Deon Watson (3.7 rec/g, 54.3 yds/g, TD), WR Alfonso Onunwor (3.9 rec/g, 40.4 yds/g, TD), TE Trent Cowan (3.3 rec/g, 36.6 yds/g, 2 TD), and Jordan Frysinger (2.0 rec/g, 50.5 yds/g, 2 TD). The Vandals backfield consists of Aaron Duckworth (14.43 att/g, 69.6 yds/g, 4 TD) and Denzal Brantley (5.14 att/g, 25.6 yds/g, TD). Defensively, Idaho is allowing their opponents to average 35.7 ppg on 473.7 total yards per game (292.6 passing, 181.1 rushing). Idaho has forced 14 turnovers and have a turnover margin of +3.
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The Appalachian State Mountaineers won their 3rd straight game and improved to 4-2 (2-0 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns, 24-0, on October 12th. Appalachian State was outstanding on the defensive end and held the Ragin’ Cajuns to just 139 rushing yards. The Mountaineers outgained Louisiana Lafayette by a 372-267 margin however, lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for Appalachian State was RB Jalin Moore who had 2 TD’s and 106 rushing yards. On the season, Appalachian State is averaging 23.3 ppg on 378.0 total yards per game (172.0 passing, 206.0 rushing). Offensively, Appalachian State is led by the rushing duo of Jalin Moore (20.67 att/g, 110.0 yds/g, 5 TD) and Marcus Cox (16.33 att/g, 92.67 yds/g, 3 TD). Marcus Cox has missed his last three games due to a leg injury and is currently listed as day-to-day on the injury report. QB Taylor Lamb has completed 61.0% of his passes for 7 TD and 5 INT while averaging 171.3 passing yds/game. WR Shaedon Meadors (2.7 rec/g, 41.7 yds/g, TD), Barrett Burns (2.0 rec/g, 34.0 yds/g, TD), TE Barrett Burns (2.0 rec/g, 34.0 yds/g, TD), WR Jaquil Capel (2.2 rec/g, 26.0 yds/g), and WR Deltron Hopkins (3.5 rec/g, 22.0 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for the Mountaineers. Defensively, Appalachian State is holding their opponents to an average of 18.8 ppg on 364.7 total yards per game (230.0 passing, 134.7 rushing). The Mountaineers have committed just six turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of +4.
The Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game however, are 3-4 ATS on the season. The Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Idaho has turned a few heads this season as many expects probably didn’t expect to see the Vandals with a winning record heading into week 8 of the College Football season. Idaho certainly has some talent to be able to up some points through the air, however, for the Vandals to pick up at least 2 more wins to become bowl eligible, Idaho will need to improved their defense that currently ranks 110th in scoring defense. Appalachian State comes in with the 19th ranked scoring defense which looked as dominant as ever on the road against Louisiana Lafayette in their recent win. Idaho might be able to put up a few points on the Mountaineers, however, as I think Appalachian State will be able to dominate on the ground, with or without Marcus Cox, I expect to see a similar score as last year when the Mountaineers defeated the Vandals by a 47-20 margin. Take Appalachian State to cover this large home spread.