LSU vs. Ole Miss - 10/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Ole Miss Rebels (3-3) at LSU Tigers (4-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Tiger Stadium)
The Line: LSU Tigers -4.5 -- Over/Under: 60.5
The LSU Tigers and the Ole Miss Rebels face off on Saturday in a week 8 college football battle of SEC heavyweights.
The LSU Tigers are 4-2 and they have looked markedly improved since Ed Orgeron has taken over as head coach. The LSU offense is averaging 28.5 points and 408.5 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 8 times but the offense has scored 42 and 45 points in their last 2 games. Tigers QB Danny Etling has completed 58.8 percent of his passes with 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Derrius Guice has taken over the LSU rushing attack with Leonard Fournette injured and he has rushed for 564 yards and 6 touchdowns and Travin Dural is the top receiver with 20 catches and a touchdown and Malachi Dupre has 18 catches and 2 touchdowns. The LSU defense is allowing 14 points and 312 yards per game with 4 interceptions, 4 fumble recoveries, and 18 sacks. Kendell Beckwith leads LSU with 60 tackles, Jamal Adams has 45 tackles, and Arden Key has 7 sacks. LSU still has time to salvage their season starting with this game and then dates down the road with Florida and Alabama.
The Ole Miss Rebels are 3-3 this season and are coming off of a tough 4-point road loss at Arkansas last week. The Ole Miss offense is averaging 39.7 points and 476.7 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 10 times. Rebels QB Chad Kelly has completed 62.4 percent of his passes with 14 touchdowns and 5 interceptions and he has rushed for 213 yards and 3 touchdowns. Akeem Judd is Mississippi’s top rusher with 343 yards and 3 touchdowns and Evan Engram is the top receiver with 37 catches and 5 touchdowns. The Ole Miss defense is allowing 30.3 points and 448.5 yards per game with 5 interceptions, 4 fumble recoveries, and 12 sacks. Zedrick Woods leads Mississippi with 39 tackles, DeMarquis Gates has 37 tackles, and Marquis Haynes has 4 sacks. Ole Miss has been good but just not good enough this season and they have fallen well short of expectations.
LSU is 1-7 against the spread in their last 8 home games against Ole Miss and 5-0 against the spread in October. Ole Miss is 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 road games, 5-1 against the spread following a loss, and 11-4 against the spread in their last 15 games against LSU. The Underdog has covered the point spread in 13 of the last 16 meetings of these two teams.
LSU has been playing well since Orgeron has taken over and Ole Miss has been a disappointment but I expect this game to be close. Look for plenty of scoring but I feel better taking the point here with the Rebels.