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North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Cavaliers - 10/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

North Carolina Tar Heels (5-2) at Virginia Cavaliers (2-4)

College Football: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 3:00 pm (Scott Stadium)

The Line: Virginia Cavaliers +11 -- Over/Under: 67 See the Latest Odds


The North Carolina Tar Heels will travel to play the Virginia Cavaliers in an ACC college football game this weekend.

The Virginia Cavaliers are 2-4 (1-1) this season after losing to Pittsburgh by a score of 45-31 in their last game. Virginia struggled on defense in this game and wasn’t able to continue their 2 game winning streak. The Virginia offense is averaging 28.3 points per game with 114.2 rushing yards and 289.2 passing yards per game. Kurt Benkert is completing 57.2% of his passes for 1733 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions for Virginia. Taquan Mizzell has rushed for 355 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Albert Reid has rushed for 346 yards and 6 touchdowns for the Cavaliers. Keeon Johnson has caught 31 passes for 305 yards and 3 scores, while Olamide Zaccheaus has caught 29 passes for 423 yards and 5 touchdowns for Virginia. The Virginia defense is giving up 32.2 points per game with 169.8 rushing yards and 280.8 passing yards per game. Micah Kiser has led the Virginia defense with 67 tackles, 5 tackles for loss, and 3 sacks, while Quin Blanding has added 62 tackles and 1 interception. Sam Hayward has gone 1-1 on field goals, with a long of 36 yards.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Cavaliers - 10/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The North Carolina Tar Heels are 5-2 (3-1) this season after beating Miami by a score of 20-13 in their last game. North Carolina has been able to play well this season in close games, winning all three games that were decided by one score. The North Carolina offense is averaging 32.1 points per game with 130.7 rushing yards and 299.7 passing yards per game. Mitch Trubisky is completing 70.5% of his passes for 2068 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions for North Carolina. T.J. Logan has rushed for 409 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Elijah Hood has rushed for 369 yards and 4 touchdowns for the Tar Heels. Ryan Switzer has caught 58 passes for 606 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Bug Howard has caught 29 passes for 429 yards and 3 scores for North Carolina. The North Carolina defense is giving up 28.9 points per game with 216 rushing yards and 201.3 passing yards per game. Donnie Miles has led the UNC defense with 66 tackles and 2 tackles for loss, while Malik Carney has added 22 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss, and 3.5 sacks. Nick Weiler has gone 8-12 on field goals, with a long of 54 yards.

North Carolina is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 October games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The under is 5-0 in North Carolina’s last 5 October games. Virginia is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games. The over is 7-2-1 in Virginia’s last 10 home games. The under is 8-2-1 in these two teams last 11 meetings.

These two teams come into this game with strong offenses, but struggle on defense. That should make for an entertaining game that is high scoring. North Carolina has played well this season and has been able to come up with some big wins, while Virginia is in danger of another disappointing season. North Carolina is on the road for this game, but I expect them to have success in the passing game and for them to get enough stops on defense. I like the Tar Heels here. 

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