Air Force at Fresno State - 10/28/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Air Force Falcons (4-3) at Fresno State Bulldogs (1-7)
College Football: Friday, October 28, 2016 at 10:30 pm (Bulldog Stadium)
The Line: Fresno State Bulldogs +13.5 -- Over/Under: 53.5 See the Latest Odds
The Air Force Falcons and Fresno State Bulldogs clash Friday night in a MWC college football game at Bulldog Stadium on ESPN2.
The Air Force Falcons look for a feel good road victory to snap a rough three-game losing streak. The Air Force Falcons have lost three of their last four road games. Nate Romine is completing 40.4 percent of his passes for 1,109 yards, nine touchdowns and four interceptions. Romine has two touchdown passes in three of his last four games. Jalen Robinette and Timothy McVey have combined for 734 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Ryan Reffitt has six receptions. The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 291.4 yards per contest, and D.J. Johnson leads the way with 452 yards on 99 carries. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 26.1 points and 348.1 yards per game. Weston Steelhammer leads the Air Force Falcons with 43 tackles, Ryan Watson has seven sacks and Brodie Hicks has two interceptions.
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The Fresno State Bulldogs could also use a nice victory to dig out of a brutal 1-7 hole. Four of the Fresno State Bulldogs last five victories have come on their home field. Chason Virgil is completing 51.8 percent of his passes for 1,710 yards, 10 touchdowns and six interceptions. Virgil has moved the chains through the air 70 times this season. Jamire Jordan and KeeSean Johnson have combined for 1,038 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Aaron Peck has 34 receptions. The Fresno State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 121.2 yards per contest, and Dontel James leads the way with 582 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Fresno State is allowing 34.1 points and 433.1 yards per game. Jeff Camilli leads the Fresno State Bulldogs with 70 tackles, Tobenna Okeke has 1.5 sacks and Jamal Ellis has two interceptions.
The Falcons are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 13-5 in Bulldogs last 18 games overall and the over is 12-4 in Falcons last 16 games overall.
Both teams could use a victory, so you can expect both clubs to come out and play hard. And while Fresno State has an ugly record, the Bulldogs have been very tough on their home field and have had many close losses. In fact, Fresno State has either won or lost it's last six home games by 14 or less points. Regardless of the result, Fresno State shows up at home and gives itself a chance to win. Air Force has also had issues defensively as of late.
So, I'm going to side with Fresno State and the points here.