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Utah State vs. San Diego State - 10/28/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Diego State Aztecs (6-1) at Utah State Aggies (3-4)

College Football: Friday, October 28, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Romney Stadium)

The Line: Utah State Aggies +6.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS Sports Network

The San Diego State Aztecs will travel to Romney Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies this Thursday night in College Football action.

The San Diego State Aztecs improved to 6-1 (3-0 MW) on the season after easily defeating the San Jose State Spartans, 42-3, this past Friday. San Diego State dominated on the both sides of the ball and had little trouble securing the victory after taking a 21-3 halftime lead. The Aztecs outgained the Spartans by a 460-209 margin however, did lose the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for San Diego State was RB’s Donnel Pumphrey and Rashaad Penny who combined for 5 TD’s and 240 rushing yards. On the season, San Diego State is averaging 32.4 ppg on 418.3 total yards per game (165.6 passing, 252.7 rushing). Offensively, the Aztecs are led by RB Donnel Pumphrey who is the nation’s leading rusher as is averaging 178.0 rushing yds/game while adding 12 rushing TD’s. QB Christian Chapman has completed 64.0% of his passes for 9 TD and 3 INT while averaging 164.4 passing yards per game. RB Rashaad Penny has also had a nice season in the backfield with Donnel Pumphrey as he has 6 TD’s and is averaging 64.57 yds/game on 11.1 att/g. Mikah Holder (2.5 rec/g, 59.7 yds/g, 3 TD), Rashaad Penny (1.1 rec/g, 25.9 yds/g, 3 TD), and Eric Judge (1.9 rec/g, 21.3 yds/g) are the leading receivers for the Aztecs. Defensively, San Diego State is holding their opponents to an average of 17.6 ppg on 284.6 total yards per game (191.0 passing, 93.6 rushing). The Aztecs have only committed 7 turnovers on the season and currently have an overall turnover margin of +5.

Utah State vs. San Diego State - 10/28/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Utah State Aggies snapped their three game losing streak and improved to 3-4 (1-3 MW) on the season after defeating the Fresno State Bulldogs, 38-20, this past Saturday. Utah State used a big 2nd half in which they outscored Fresno State by a 21-6 margin, to help pull away for the victory. Utah State outgained Fresno State by a 392-319 margin and didn’t commit any turnovers in the win. Leading the way for the Aggies was QB Kent Myers who completed 17 of 29 passes for 188 yards and 3 TD’s while also rushing for 66 yards on 8 carries. On the season, Utah State is averaging 25.4 ppg on 391.4 total yards per game (213.9 passing, 177.6 rushing). Offensively, the Aggies have been led by QB Kent Myers who has completed 59.0% of his passes for 7 TD and 4 INT while averaging 212.1 passing yards per game. Myers also has contributed with his legs as he has 3 rushing TD’s and is averaging 38.86 rushing yds/game. In the backfield for the Aggies are Tonny Lindsey (14.1 att/g, 63.1 yds/g, 3 TD) and Devante Mays (6.8 att/g, 58.5 yds/g, 3 TD). Rayshad Lewis (4.0 rec/g, 52.9 yds/g, TD), Ron’Quavion Tarver (3.6 rec/g, 46.1 yds/g, 2 TD), Wyatt Houston (3.3 rec/g, 29.3 yds/g, 2 TD), and Andrew Rodriguez (2.9 rec/g, 28.6 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for the Aggies. Defensively, Utah State is holding their opponents to an average of 24.3 ppg on 359.6 total yards per game (208.0 passing, 151.6 rushing). Utah State has only committed 6 turnovers on the season however, have an overall turnover margin of just 0.

The Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record and 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October. The Aggies are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 Friday games however, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

San Diego State is one of the best teams in the Mountain West as not only do they have the leading rusher in the all of College Football in Donnel Pumphrey, they also have one of the better defenses in the country that have given up just 13 combined points in their last three games. Utah State has struggled a bit on the offensive end as they ranked just 90th in the country in scoring offense, however, the Aggies are pretty solid on the defensive end as they rank 35th in total defense and 44th in scoring defense. Utah State was defeated by San Diego State by a 48-14 margin on the road last year and although I think the Aggies will put up more of a fight in this one, I just don’t see Utah State being able to score enough points against the tough Aztecs defense to keep this one within the number. Take San Diego State to cover this road spread.   

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