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Mississippi State vs. Samford - 10/29/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Samford Bulldogs (6-1) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-5)

College Football: Saturday, October 29, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field)

The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: SEC

The Samford Bulldogs and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet in a college football game Saturday afternoon at Davis Wade Stadium.

The Samford Bulldogs look for their third road win of the season to build on their impressive 6-1 record. The Samford Bulldogs are 5-3 SU on the road since last season. Devlin Hodges is completing 71.1 percent of his passes for 2,445 yards, 24 touchdowns and five interceptions. Hodges and Liam Welch have combined for 26 touchdown passes this season. Karel Hamilton and Kelvin McKnight have combined for 1,245 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns while E. Obajimi has 34 receptions. The Samford Bulldogs ground game is averaging 98.3 yards per contest, and K'rondis Larry leads the way with 246 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Samford is allowing 23.1 points and 375.9 yards per game. Shaheed Salmon leads the Samford Bulldogs with 74 tackles, Ahmad Gooden has 4.5 sacks and Omari Williams has three interceptions.

Mississippi State vs. Samford - 10/29/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are desperate for a feel good victory after a brutal 2-5 record. The Mississippi State Bulldogs have lost four of their last five home games. Nick Fitzgerald is completing 55.9 percent of his passes for 1,079 yards, nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Fitzgerald has moved the chains through the air 50 times this season. Fred Ross and Donald Gray have combined for 708 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Keith Mixon has 13 receptions. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 203.5 yards per contest, and Fitzgerald leads the way with 538 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 28.4 points and 388.9 yards per game. Richie Brown leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 55 tackles, A.J. Jefferson has four sacks and Kivon Coman has two interceptions.

The Bulldogs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss and the under is 6-1 in Bulldogs last 7 home games.

There's no line on this game just yet, but I'm going to side with the Samford Bulldogs and the points whenever a line is released. Mississippi State is just a bad football team overall and already has a loss to South Alabama at home this season. Samford can put up points in a hurry and won't be bothered by the big stage after playing Louisville last season and a ranked Chattanooga eam the last two years. Samford has enough to hang with the Bulldogs on the road. I don't like Miss State at all this season.

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