Ole Miss vs. Auburn - 10/29/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by USA TODAY Sports
Auburn Tigers (5-2) at Ole Miss Rebels (3-4)
College Football: Saturday, October 29, 2016 at 7:15 pm (Vaught-Hemingway Stadium)
The Line: Ole Miss Rebels +2 -- Over/Under:
TV: SEC Network
The Ole Miss Rebels and the Auburn Tigers face off on Saturday in Week 9 SEC college football action.
The Ole Miss Rebels have lost their last 2 games and sit at 3-4 this season and they have fallen out of the rankings for the first time this year. Ole Miss is averaging 37 points and 455 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 12 times. Rebels QB Chad Kelly has completed 62 percent of his passes with 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions and he has rushed for 269 yards and 3 touchdowns. Akeem Judd is Mississippi’s top rusher with 382 yards and 4 touchdowns and Even Engram is the top receiver with 40 catches and 5 touchdowns. The Ole Miss defense is allowing 31.4 points and 458 yards per game with 6 interceptions, 6 fumble recoveries, and 14 sacks. Demarquis Gates is the Rebels top tackler with 44, Zedrick Woods has 42 tackles, and Marquis Haynes has 5 sacks. This has been a disappointing season for Ole Miss and it has gone downhill after the first half of opening night against Florida State.
The Auburn Tigers are 5-2 this season and they are coming off of their biggest SEC win in school history blowing out Arkansas by 53 points last Saturday. The Auburn offense is averaging 35.7 points and 501 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 9 times. Tigers QB Sean White has completed 68.5 percent of his passes with 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and he has rushed for 2 touchdowns. Kamryn Pettway anchors the Auburn rushing attack with 697 yards and 6 touchdowns and Kerryon Johnson has rushed for 538 yards and 6 touchdowns while Tony Stevens has 24 catches and 3 touchdowns and Ryan Davis has 22 catches and a touchdown. The Tigers defense is allowing 14.1 points and 328 yards with 4 interceptions, 6 fumble recoveries, and 18 sacks. Tre’ Williams leads Auburn with 43 tackles, Johnathan Ford has 42 tackles, and Carl Lawson has 6.5 sacks. Auburn seems to be getting better every week and they could be a force in the SEC down the stretch.
Ole Miss is 18-7-1 against the spread in their last 26 home games, 5-1 in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record, and 5-2 against the spread following a loss. Auburn is 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 games, 8-2 against the spread against a team with a losing record, and 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 road games. The home team has covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings of these two teams.
This should be a good one but the psyche of these two teams are at opposite ends of the spectrum right now with Auburn sky high and confident and Ole Miss feeling low. While I like home teams in the SEC in night games, I have to give Auburn the nod here.