San Jose State vs. UNLV - 10/29/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Jose State vs. UNLV - 10/29/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

UNLV Rebels (3-5) at San Jose State Spartans (2-6)

College Football: Saturday, October 29, 2016 at 10:30 pm (Spartan Stadium)

The Line: San Jose State Spartans +2 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The UNLV Rebels will travel to CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans this Saturday night in College Football action.

The UNLV Rebels dropped to 3-5 (2-2 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Colorado State Rams, 42-23, this past Saturday. UNLV had no answers for Colorado State offense early in this one and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 35-0 margin by halftime. UNLV was outgained by Colorado State by a 467-360 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for the Rebels was QB Dalton Sneed who completed 7 of 23 passes for 185 yards, 2 TD, and an INT while also leading the Rebels in rushing with 96 yards on 16 carries. On the season, UNLV is averaging 31.4 ppg on 399.1 total yards per game (160.5 passing, 238.6 rushing). Offensively, the Rebels have the 21st ranked rushing offense led by RB Lexington Thomas (14.4 att/g, 76.8 yds/g, 8 TD), Charles Williams (10.0 att/g, 57.5 yds/g, 2 TD), David Greene (3.25 att/g, 13.25 yds/g, 6 TD), and Dalton Sneed (8.83 att/g, 60.0 yds/g, TD). QB Dalton Sneed has completed 46.8% of his passes for 5 TD and 2 INT while averaging 101.3 passing yds/game. Devonte Boyd (3.6 rec/g, 60.4 yds/g, 4 TD), Darren Woods Jr (2.2 rec/g, 31.5 yds/g, TD), and Mekhi Stevenson (1.5 rec/g, 19.4 yds/g, 2 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Rebels. Defensively, UNLV is allowing their opponents to average 32.3 ppg on 420.1 total yards per game (248.8 passing, 171.4 rushing). UNLV has forced 10 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of 0.

The San Jose State Spartans dropped to 2-6 (1-3 MW) on the season after being defeated by the San Diego State Spartans, 42-3, this past Friday. San Jose State didn’t have any answers on either side of the ball and couldn’t fight back into the game after falling behind 21-3 at halftime. San Jose State was outgained by San Diego State by a 460-209 margin and allowed the Aztecs to average 9.3 yds/carry. Leading the way for San Jose State was QB Kenny Potter who completed 13 of 29 passes for 104 yards while also gaining 42 yards on the ground. On the season, San Jose State is averaging 22.3 ppg on 354.5 total yards per game (205.5 passing, 149.0 rushing). Offensively, the Spartans have been led by QB Kenny Potter who has completed 56.1% of his passes for 9 TD and 6 INT while averaging 178.9 passing yards/game. Potter’s main targets at the receiver positions have been Tre Hartley (3.5 rec/g, 58.5 yds/g, 2 TD), Justin Holmes (2.8 rec/g, 49.6 yds/g, 2 TD), Tim Crawley (3.3 rec/g, 34.4 yds/g, 2 TD) and Billy Freeman (1.5 rec/g, 18.6 yds/g, TD). Leading the Spartans backfield has been Malik Roberson (8.7 att/g, 42.88 yds/g, TD), Deontae Cooper (10.0 att/g, 41.4 yds/g, 2 TD), and Zamore Zigler (9.5 att/g, 54.2 yds/g, 3 TD). Defensively, San Jose State is allowing their opponents to average 36.5 ppg on 446.0 total yards per game (209.6 passing, 236.4 rushing). San Jose State has forced 15 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of +1.

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The Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home and 22-48-4 ATS in their last 74 road games. The Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

This game might feature little defense as UNLV current ranks 94th in scoring defense while San Jose State ranks 114th. UNLV has used their rushing attack to pick up a few wins this season however, has to be concerned about their defense as they allowed a Colorado State team that ranks just 78th in scoring offense to put up 35 points against them in just the 1st half. It’s been a long season for San Jose State as the offense hasn’t been able to replace the loss of Tyler Erwin and although the defense has forced TO’s, they can’t seem to keep their opponents off the board. This should be a close game however, as I think that UNLV just has more talent on the offensive end, I’m going to go with the Rebels to cover this small road spread. Take the Rebels to cover.  

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Brett’s Pick UNLV Rebels -2

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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