Texas A&M vs. New Mexico State - 10/29/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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New Mexico State Aggies (2-5) at Texas A&M Aggies (6-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 29, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Kyle Field)
The Line: Texas A&M Aggies -43.5 -- Over/Under: 69.5
The Texas A&M Aggies and the New Mexico State Aggies face off on Saturday in College Station in week 9 college football action.
The Texas A&J Aggies are 6-1 so far this season and they are coming off of their first loss of the year last week at Alabama. The Texas A&M offense is averaging 36.4 points and 496.4 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 13 times. Aggies QB Trevor Knight has completed 52.4 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and 6 interceptions and he has rushed for 526 yards and 9 touchdowns. Trayveon Williams is Texas A&M’s leading rusher with 727 yards and 5 touchdowns and Keith Ford has 303 yards and 3 touchdowns while Christian Kirk is the top receiver with 49 catches and 5 touchdowns and Josh Reynolds has 27 catches and 5 touchdowns. The Texas A&M defense is allowing 21.1 points and 439.4 yards per game with 9 interceptions, 10 fumble recoveries, and 23 sacks. Shaan Washington leads Texas A&M in tackles with 56, Justin Evans has 52 tackles, and Armani Watts has 44 tackles. Texas A&M still has plenty to play for and they were not penalized much in the rankings for their loss to Alabama.
The New Mexico State Aggies are 2-5 this season and they have lost their last 2 games and 4 of their last 5. The NMSU offense is averaging 25.9 points and 435.7 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 11 times. Aggies QB Tyler Rogers has completed 55.4 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions and he has rushed for 234 yards and 3 touchdowns. New Mexicio State has struggled to ruin the ball as Larry Rose III has rushed for 281 yards and 1 touchdown and Xavier Hall has rushed for 245 yards and 1 touchdown while Gregory Hogan is the top receiver with 25 catches and 3 touchdowns. Defensively New Mexico State is allowing 41.6 points and 5-3.6 yards per game with 7 interceptions, 5 fumble recoveries, and 6 sacks. Rodney Butler is NMSU’s top tackler with 102 tackles, Dalton Harrington has 62 tackles, and Terrill Hanks has 58 tackles. New Mexico State are clearly in over their head in this game.
Texas A&M is 9-3 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 2-6 against the spread against the Sun Belt, and 1-7 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the point spread. New Mexico State is 16-34-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 road games, and 1-7 against the spread against the SEC.
We have a gigantic mismatch and this one is going to get very ugly and one sided and while I am not a fan of laying huge numbers, I can see myself doing it here. A&M can score against good teams, against NMSU they should have a lot fo big plays. I don’t see New Mexico State moving the football on Texas A&M’s defense.