Army vs. Air Force - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Air Force Falcons (5-3) at Army Black Knights (5-3)
College Football: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Michie Stadium)
The Line: Army Black Knights +3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The Air Force Falcons will travel to Michie Stadium to take on the Army Black Knights this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Air Force Falcons snapped their 3-game losing streak and improved to 5-3 (2-3 MW) on the season after defeating the Fresno State Bulldogs, 31-21, this past Saturday. Air Force used a big 2nd half to help overcome a 14-7 halftime deficit and secure the victory. Air Force outgained Fresno State by a 424-349 margin and won the turnover battle by a 4-1 margin. Leading the way for the Falcons was RB Arion Worthman who had 2 TD’s and 102 rushing yards on 20 carries. On the season, Air Force is averaging 33.0 ppg on 448.8 total yards per game (152.9 passing, 295.9 rushing). Offensively, the Falcons are led by their 6th ranked rushing attack which is led by Jacobi Owens (10.3 att/g, 63.1 yds/g, 3 TD), D.J. Johnson (14.1 att/g, 64.6 yds/g), Shayne Davern (12.1 att/g, 46.9 yds/g, 2 TD), Timothy McVey (5.13 att/g, 37.3 yds/g, 5 TD), and Nate Romine (11.9 yds/g, 34.9 yds/g, 3 TD). QB Nate Romine has completed 41.7% of his passes for 10 TD and 4 INT while averaging 150.8 passing yds/g. Jalen Robinette (3.0 rec/g, 77.8 yds/g, 4 TD), Timothy McVey (0.8 rec/g, 22.0 yds/g, 2 TD), Ronald Cleveland (0.5 rec/g, 20.3 yds/g, 3 TD), and Ryan Reffitt (0.8 rec/g, 16.6 yds/g, 2 TD) have been the leading receivers for the Falcons. Defensively, Air Force are allowing their opponents to average 25.5 ppg on 350.1 total yards per game (239.4 passing, 110.8 rushing). Air Force has forced 12 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of +1.
USA TODAY Sports
The Army Black Knights improved to 5-3 on the season after defeating the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 21-13, this past Saturday. Army used a big 4th quarter in which they outscored Wake Forest by a 14-3 margin to help secure the comeback victory. Army outgained Wake Forest by a 383-343 margin and won the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin. Leading the way for the Black Knights was QB Ahmad Bradshaw who completed 6 of 8 passes for 145 yards, 1 TD, and an INT while also chipping in a rushing TD on 65 yards on the ground. On the season, Army is averaging 31.5 ppg on 433.6 total yards per game (91.5 passing, 342.1 rushing). Offensively, the Black Knights are led by the 2nd ranked rushing offensive in College Football. Leading the rushing attack for Army has been RB Andy Davidson (15.3 att/g, 82.8 yds/g, 7 TD), QB Ahmad Bradshaw (16.5 att/g, 70.1 yds/g, 5 TD), Jordan Asberry (4.9 att/g, 31.5 yds/g, 3 TD), and Darnell Woolfolk (9.83 att/g, 40.0 yds/g, 6 TD). QB Ahmad Bradshaw has completed 45.2% of his passes for 474 yards, 2 TD, and 6 INT. Edgar Poe (1.8 rec/g, 39.8 yds/g, TD) and Christian Poe (1.3 rec/g, 17.7 yds/g) are the leading the receivers for the Black Knights. Defensively, Army is holding their opponents to an average of 16.5 ppg on 266.8 total yards per game (163.0 passing, 103.8 rushing). Army has forced 15 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of 0.
The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. The Black Knights are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.
If you like to watch teams run the football, this will be the game the watch this weekend as both Air Force and Army feature top-10 rushing offenses in College Football. Air Force got off to a great start to this season however, struggled defensively during their recent 3-game losing streak as they allowed their opponents to average 38.0 ppg. Army got a huge win on the road against Wake Forest and have been excellent against the run this season as they come into this matchup with the 7th ranked rush defense. Air Force didn’t have one of their biggest rushing threats in D.J. Johnson in their recent win against Fresno State however, is currently not listed on the injury report. Air Force has played the tougher schedule this season but as I think the Army defense will be able to slow down the Falcons rushing attack, I like the Black Knights at home with the point. Take Army and the points.